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The program commenced in July 1996 and evolved from a former program of the Meat Research Corporation called the Temperate Pasture Sustainability Key Program (TPSKP). The SGS program ran for five years with total funding of about $5.5 m per year. The SGS program had the following goal:  By 2001 at least 2000 producers in the high rainfall zone will have adopted changes to their grazing systems that could be shown to be at least 10% more profitable and more sustainable than prior to their participation in the program. A further 5,000 would have trialled at least some part of the recommended changes . While SGS was an MLA initiative, the program had several partners including Land and Water Australia (LWA), Murray Darling Basin Commission (MDBC), State agencies and several universities. Large numbers of producers also contributed to the program. SGS was developed in a cooperative framework between researchers, producers and State extension personnel. The framework for SGS was developed by a producer planning group in order to maintain producer ownership of the program. 2. PROGRAZE and PROGRAZIER PROGRAZE was developed by NSW Agriculture as a method for producers to learn the fundamentals of pasture and animal assessment to assist in grazing management. The course was first conducted in NSW in 1994 to 1996 and then spread to other states. PROGRAZE became a constituent component of SGS where it was further developed. The Prograzier magazine commenced as a newsletter within SGS and is now produced four times per year. The role of the publication is to help raise producer awareness of and interest in key R&D outcomes, to encourage producers to seek further information/training, and to influence their management practices. 3. Grain and Graze Meat & Livestock Australia (MLA) is one of four partners in a research program called Grain & Graze (G&G). G&G was a program focused on enterprise integration within mixed enterprise farming systems with the aim of increasing profitability and enhancing natural resource condition across Australia s medium rainfall zone. The program was established in July 2003 and has run for five years until June 2008. The program is a cooperative effort of four Rural Research & Development Corporations (RDCs)  Australian Wool Innovation Ltd (AWI), the Grains R&D Corporation (GRDC), Land & Water Australia (LWA) and MLA. MLA is the largest financial contributor of the four RDCs. The program s investment is largely delivered through nine regionally focused projects, which in themselves use collaborative approaches with many partners involved, including State agencies. The mission of G&G was  to provide mixed farming enterprises in southern Australia with new  whole-farm knowledge, tools and capability to adopt management changes that will increase production of crops, pastures and animals while maintaining or enhancing biodiversity and the catchment resources which sustain them. The objectives for the program were: 10% increase in profit for participating mixed enterprise producers (building financial capital) Better water quality and enhanced condition and diversity of plants and wildlife (building natural capital) Increased confidence and pride among Australia s mixed enterprise producers (building social capital) 4. Evergraze The EverGraze initiative is developing and testing new farming systems in different environments of the high rainfall zone (>600 average annual rainfall) of southern Australia. The initiative involves combining different perennial pastures designed to meet the nutritional needs throughout the year of high performance prime lamb production systems. Apart from increasing productivity and profitability on a whole farm basis, the pastures are envisaged to use excess water in the environment so lowering water tables and improving water quality in waterways. The project was funded by MLA, State agencies, the former Salinity CRC and catchment management authorities. 5. Biological Control of Weeds A biological control research and development program for weeds was initiated by CSIRO in 1972. The initial biological control investment on Paterson s Curse (Echium spp.) was halted in 1980 following an injunction in the Supreme Court of South Australia, lodged by a group of graziers and apiarists. CSIRO recommenced work on biological control of Echium in 1987. The biological control program for thistles commenced at about the same time. The Australian meat and wool industries also contributed funding to the CSIRO program, in addition to in-kind contributions of the NSW, Victorian, South Australian and Western Australian state departments, and, since 1995, the Weeds CRC. Meat and Livestock Australia (MLA) and its predecessors and other research funding bodies have invested in biological weed control projects since at least 1987. Until 1996/97 Australian Wool Innovation (AWI) and MLA funded projects independently, with the work focusing mostly on the importation, host-specificity testing and initial establishment of agents at a small number of nursery sites. From 1997/98 the projects were placed under one funding umbrella. By 2002/03 bio-control agents had been successfully identified, reared and released against the target species. Their impacts were being noted around release sites. The evidence was indicating that the combinations of the agents selected should be able to reduce the vigour of these weeds in the short term and their density in the long term. A new project was initiated in 2003/04 that released additional agents in the current sites. This new project was anticipated to speed up the delivery of benefits to landholders. 6. Pasture Breeding and Establishment Apart from the large investment in pasture management and utilisation there was some investment in breeding improved pasture types including new varieties of tall fescue, perennial ryegrass, and white clover. Investment into establishment of perennial pastures as well as low cost re-establishment was made. 7. Lamb Finishing A number of initiatives were undertaken for improved finishing systems for lambs, including feed supplementation, lot finishing, and economic analyses of finishing systems. This was particularly relevant in the past eight years due to the drought and the need to deliver lambs all year round. 8. Sustainable Grazing on Saline Land A resurgence of interest in examining the potential for saltland management resulted in the implementation of the Sustainable Grazing on Saline Land (SGSL) subprogram of Land Water and Wool funded by AWI, MLA, and LWA. This investment included 37 projects established in the four states of NSW, South Australia, Victoria and Western Australia. One major investment component of SGSL was the national research component carried out on five national research sites established in 2002 and 2003. A second principal component of SGSL was the support of producer networks in each state that focussed on about 120 producer research sites. PRODUCING TO MARKET SPECIFICATIONS A number of market research and market/marketing initiatives were also relevant to production RD&E, and particularly the education and adoption components of producers changing practices to meet market specifications. Most of the following investment was driven by the need to produce what the market required in terms of product (e.g. less fat, easier to prepare) and to change both the reality and the image of lamb to a healthy tasty food. Much of this investment could be considered production RD&E as it focused on the translation to producers and communication of market requirements. However, the definition of market requirements and the cuts and specifications to meet consumer needs would fall on the demand side of the overall investment. 1. Trim Lamb Between 1988 and 1992 there was the Trim Lamb Campaign and the Fresh Australia Range Lamb Program (FARL) campaign (Banks, 2003). Trim Lamb was a major promotion campaign aimed at changing retail cutting and consumer perceptions of lamb. The campaign focused on reduced fat, removal of bone, improved versatility in cooking, and presentation and reduced cooking time (Anon, undated). The FARL Program was focused on North America. 2. Elite Lamb The MRC initiated ELITE lamb project focused on how to produce and market elite lambs (lambs of 22 to 26 kg and fat score of 2 or 3). This contributed to the implementation of forward contracts and price grids (Howard et al, 2007). On-farm validation of trials in Victoria and elsewhere demonstrated the management of new technologies (breeding and nutritional management to produce the required specifications). 3. New Trim Lamb and Multicultural Lamb New Trim Lamb (NTL) was launched in Victoria in March 1998 and later was launched on a state by state basis after education of retailer producer and wholesalers. The objective was to reposition lamb to change entrenched attitudes from fatty to a range of leaner healthier cuts that allowed quicker easy to prepare modern meals. The Multicultural Lamb program was to assist in preventing a consumption slide in lamb until NTL was launched nationally. 4. Lamb Consistency Key Program As already described under policies and programs, this program focused on consistency of quantity (that is, supply for 12 months of the year) and quality (weight and fat), as well as increasing the adoption of value based marketing. The objectives of this initiative were to increase the number of lambs sold via value based marketing systems such as commercial supply chains and branded sheepmeat alliances (e.g. Q-Lamb, Pastoral Prime, Casmark, and Island Prime) and to evaluate and commercialise objective on-line carcase measurement systems within supply chains to facilitate greater adoption of value based marketing. The production to the specification and objective feedback allowed producers to monitor and review the efficiency of the production system and their ability to produce to that target specification. 5. Clear Market Signals A major deficiency identified in the implementation of programs such as the Trim Lamb campaigns was the lack of methods of uniform carcase identification which could be passed from processor to end-user and back to allow supply and ordering or specified carcasses. Between 1991 and 1993 a NSW Agriculture project implemented a computerised lamb carcase ticketing system in two NSW abattoirs which conveyed carcase weight and fat score information through the supply chain. This was adopted nationally as the Livestock Identification and Description System (LIDS). 6. National Lamb Marketing Team MLA, together with the State DPIs, supported a National Program of Product Development Officers (PDOs) under the Lamb Consistency Key Program. These officers worked with producers, livestock agents, processors retailers and other industry partners in order to increase the number of lambs sold through value based marketing systems. They did this by assisting in the formation of new producer groups and in facilitating and coordination of direct marketing relationships. They collected data, provided advice to farmer groups and others and worked with the state teams to promote developments in the lamb industry (Anon, 2002). MANAGEMENT - ENHANCING ADOPTION 1. Best Wool/Best Lamb BESTWOOL was an industry extension project that was initiated by Victorian Agriculture and the Victorian Farmers Federation in 1998 to improve on-farm productivity and profitability among Victoria s woolgrowers (originally called Bestwool 2010). The project was delivered via producer driven groups and included group learning activities such as farm walks, group discussions, farm tours etc and paid coordinators. Australian Wool Innovation (AWI) became involved in 2002 and then in 2004 the GRDC became a funder. In 2005 the program expanded when MLA provided funding for producer groups with an emphasis on lamb production. As a result the name was changed to BESTWOOL/BESTLAMB (Hassall and Associates, 2008). 2. Producer Network Groups Most states supported a network of producer groups as a method of empowering industry change. The State investment in these networks of producer groups was very significant in terms of resources as well as impact. The network groups were pivotal to the practice change that occurred as producers were seeking updated information and skills in the rapidly evolving industry at that time. For example, the Lamb Marksman project in Victoria was a network of producer groups established in the mid 1990s to extend improved production and marketing practices. The Marksman network was central to the delivery of outcomes from joint MRC/MLA Victorian DPI projects (Howard et al, 2007). 3. Business Skills and Best Practice Business Skills and Best Practice (BSBP) was an extension project to develop and pilot best practice material, learning activities, data analysis and reporting, and delivery structures that were quality assured. There was an emphasis on the integration of key management decisions and overall enterprise management skills so that profitability improved. This Victorian project was the genesis of the EDGEnetwork? training program. 4. EDGEnetwork? EDGEnetwork? has been one of several methods of extension employed by MLA as part of its R&D program since 2000. EDGEnetwork? is a series of structured learning workshops delivered to meat and livestock producers in all states of Australia through various arrangements with state and private sector agencies. EDGEnetwork? provides a vehicle for communicating the outcomes of its past R&D investment to meat and livestock producers so that they can improve their profitability and sustainability. EDGEnetwork? was initially set up to communicate R&D findings and increase general capacity in farm business (the working title of EDGEnetwork? during its development was  Business Skills and Best Practice ). It is a delivery tool for R&D with the aim of promoting practice change in all aspects of the farm business (Michael Goldberg, pers.comm). The most popular courses attended by lamb producers were Prograze, Wean More Lambs, LambCheque, Effective Breeding (name changed to Terminal Sire Selection), Money Making Mums and Money Making Merinos. 5. Flockcare Flockcare is an on-farm system designed to demonstrate commitment to Quality Assurance (QA). It is a system of  proven responsibility that takes into account food safety, chemicals and residues; animal health, husbandry and welfare; preparation, presentation and transport. Flockcare helps to meet the expected standards for lambs and mutton sheep for slaughter, live sheep sales, exports and sheepskins. Flockcare was developed in the late 1990s because it was recognised that the industry was highly dependent on exports and was vulnerable to international politics, perceptions and pressures. To survive and prosper the industry needed to: Develop a more positive on-farm approach to product safety and quality Recognise the industry was in the business of providing food not sheep Use quality management techniques to ensure products met customer needs and specifications Flockcare was developed with particular emphasis on meeting the expectations of consumers with respect to food safety and quality. Flockcare is owned by the Australian sheep meat industry through the Sheepmeat Council of Australia (SCA). Flockcare Pty Ltd was incorporated in 1998, and has a Board appointed by SCA. Flockcare outsources its program management by contracting a National Service Provider to deliver the program as a self-regulatory quality assurance program. 6. PIRDs The MLA PIRD program commenced in 1993 and has continued to 2007. The objective was to support new ideas from cattle and sheepmeat producer groups to improve their knowledge, awareness and profitability through group initiated farm trials. PIRDs represented therefore a way for producers to explore solutions to local farm management issues and to practically assess applicability of research to commercial enterprises. A range of issues have been addressed by these groups from grazing to marketing, with proportionately more lamb producer groups being involved (Welslman, 2001). Pasture, feed and grazing questions along with animal production, farm management and breeding were constant issue areas. In the mid 1990s marketing alliances and producer participation were foremost. 7. MLA Prime Time The MLA Prime Time campaign was an initiative to increase awareness among sheep producers of the likely shortage, opportunities for increasing lamb and sheepmeat production, and practices that boosted flock productivity and profitability. MLA s partners in the campaign were the Sheepmeat Council of Australia, the Sheep Industry CRC, and key event private sector partners, including Landmark and Elders Limited. The campaign was launched in July 2003. The aim of the program was to boost lamb production by 1 million lambs in 2004 and accelerate lamb and sheep meat production over the following four years to help meet growing export demand, particularly from the US. This series of projects included over 50 producer forums held across Australia in separate campaigns targeting mixed farms, merino producers, and prime lamb producers respectively, as well as supporting publications, producer tools and demonstration sites. MLA Prime time focused on specific regions and production systems where emerging opportunities could be seen to be easily captured over a 5 year period. These were: 2003 - Cereal zone (pending lower returns from cropping from drought and increasing costs) 2004 - Merinos (need the ewe base to keep breeding prime lambs) 2005  Prime lamb heartland (high rainfall cereal and permanent pasture regions) 2006 - Pastoral 2007 - Cost of production (for all regions and was the emerging focus from a review of the program in late 2005). Prime Time focused on empowering sheep producers to manage the most important drivers of cost of production on their own farm in order to make more money. Key messages were on how to take advantage of technology in terms of proven breeding, feeding and management strategies that required little or no cost that could help them to wean up to 10% more lambs; get up to 50% more from their pasture; gain up to 5% more carcase yield; and make up to 25% more from their breeding ewes. OTHER 1. Sheep CRC The main objective of the Sheep CRC (2001-2007) was to develop new technologies, management practices and marketing strategies that would make the sheep industry more profitable and sheep products more highly valued by consumers. The Sheep CRC is now in its second phase (2007-2014). The key foci of Sheep CRC1 included quantitative genetics, sheep meat eating quality, parasite management and precision sheep production, and undergraduate and postgraduate education (Clarke et al, 2006). MLA has been a cash funder of both phases of the CRC while the State DPIs have also been CRC members. 5. Principal Outputs and Outcomes Some indicative examples of outputs and outcomes produced by some of the more prominent MLA/DPI investments over the period are summarised in Table 5.1. Table 5.1: Indicative Examples of Outputs and Outcomes from Investment Investment OutputsOutcomes Industry Policies and Programs 1. MLA Prime Lamb Industry Key Program A targeted program involving technology development and information deployment with specific objectives to produce heavier and leaner lambs in line with market requirements.By 1995, significant progress had been made in laying the foundation for a responsive and integrated supply chain for lamb.2. Lamb Industry Strategic Plan A plan that emphasised integration of effort along the supply chain with targets for all industry sectors. The plan focused on continuity and consistency of supply, and communication across the industry. The plan provided industry cohesion and a clear goal. By 1999, activities undertaken within the plan led to a more cohesive and consistent supply of lambs, with a higher proportion of product meeting market specifications in both domestic and export markets.3. MLA Lamb Consistency Key Program A targeted program consistent with the lamb industry strategic plan to increase the consistency of supply and quality of lamb and a strong customer focus, through encouraging adoption of best on farm systems for breeding, growing and marketing lambs.By 1999, program activities had contributed to a lower peak to trough supply ratio, heavier lambs, higher prices, and with a higher proportion of lambs sold over the hook. 4. National Lamb Industry Conventions Three conventions were attended by all sectors of the lamb industry.The initial conventions assisted with instilling the industry vision, empowered all sectors to find partners with whom to work, and assisted individuals to set their own targets. ANIMALS - GENETICS / HEALTH / REPRODUCTION1. LAMBPLANInformation on sires used for producing second cross lambs gave producers the ability to rear lambs with a heavier and leaner carcase at the same age. Information on sires used to produce crossbred ewes has also been useful in raising the lambing rate of the crossbred ewes as well as the carcase merit of the second cross lambs born to them. The use of LAMBPLAN increased as producers benefited from information on terminal sires. More recent but smaller benefits have been produced from information on maternal sires. As a result carcase weights of leaner lambs increased. A higher percentage of lambs from high performance sires reached the targeted market specifications. All major terminal, maternal and dual purpose breeds in Australia use LAMBPLAN. A total of 31% of sheep/lamb producers use ASBVs or index values in sire selection or purchase (Axiom Research, 2007). Australian Venture Consultants (2006) states that 66% of the total lambs produced for slaughter were produced by terminal sires registered with LAMBPLAN and it has been estimated that LAMBPLAN has influenced about 70% of the gene pool of prime lamb production in Australia (Harris and Rice, 2005). 2. Animal Health and Reproduction Health: Some improved management of resistance of internal parasites to anthelmentics. Reproduction: Some improvements in marketing percentages in some lamb specialist regions from maternal sire genetics and from improved nutritional management. NUTRITION - THE FEEDBASE 1. Sustainable Grazing Systems The  National Experiment was undertaken on six sites (Albany, Hamilton, Rutherglen, Wagga, Orange and Tamworth), and for each of five themes (water, nutrients, pastures, animals and biodiversity). Regional committees of producers were established that assisted in the development of sustainable grazing systems and for quickly transferring information to producers. There were 100 producer driven regional sites that had strong credibility with producers. Two SGS National Farm Walks (1999 and 2001) were conducted that attracted 6,400 producers and involved 135 regional and national sites. Surveys reported that the 8,000 participants in SGS were more likely than non-participants to rotationally graze; have higher stocking rates; more perennial pasture; assess their pasture, dry matter and digestibility value; calculate a fodder budget, weight and fat scores for livestock; soil test and apply fertiliser and lime; and focus on specific markets. Among participants in SGS, 81% and 85% respectively stated that the changes they had implemented would increase profitability and sustainability. Involvement in SGS had assisted in their management of animal, pastures, nutrients and water as well as sharing information among their peers.2. PROGRAZE and PROGRAZIERThe PROGRAZE course (developed further within SGS) provided technical information and assessment skills, used discussion groups, visits and revisits to grazing properties, and provided takeaway manuals and guidelines for use after the course. The course was based on learning from others, solution seeking and active learning with emphasis on building the capacity to make changes. By the end of 1996 nearly 4,000 producers had undertaken the course. By 2002, some 8,500 producers had undertaken the course. These 8,500 (6,400 businesses) were all from the high rainfall zone of southern Australia. MLA subsumed the PROGRAZE workshops into their EDGEnetwork? education and training program when it commenced in 2000/01. Up until 2008, 12,269 producers have participated in PROGRAZE (including 8,500 under SGS and a further 3,769 under EDGEnetwork? from 2001 to 2008; 50% of the 11,269 were estimated to have been sheep/lamb producers. Prograzier had a subscriber base of 20,000 across the southern states of Australia in 2008. A high proportion of PROGRAZE participants surveyed (86%) indicated that participating in PROGRAZE would increase profitability and 90% indicated participation will improve the sustainability of their pasture base; 41% of participants changed their grazing approach, many to rotational grazing with 2,460 businesses attributing this to PROGRAZE alone. Confidence in decision making has been often reported by participants as a result of participating in PROGRAZE. This is translated 12 months after completing PROGRAZE to changes being made on the farm. It was reported that PROGRAZE was the most successful training program ever offered in the red meat industry. There has been extensive participation by producers with independent verification of changed behaviour and adoption. The percentage of PROGRAZE attendees who changed grazing practices was 62% and who changed pasture management was 48%. In a 2004 survey, Prograzier emerged as the source of information most likely to influence producers to change livestock or pasture management practices, with rural newspapers 2nd, field days third, Department of Agriculture fourth, and ABC Radio fifth (Taverner Research Company, 2004). 3. Grain and Graze The program produced a range of models, tools and knowledge in both the national projects and the individual regional projects. Knowledge related to economics, biodiversity, feedbase management and social aspects of mixed farming systems. Examples include perennial pasture establishment and management, managing pasture rotations, stubble grazing kit, an IPM guide, a stubble management course, a feedbase information package, options to fill an autumn feed gap, and management packages for grazing cereals. More than 4,000 producers were actively engaged in Grain and Graze activities. It is estimated that more than 8,000 passively participated. More than 230 research and demonstration sites operated for some part of the 5 year program. The likely outcomes from the G&G program are increased average profitability and improved risk management outcomes for mixed farming enterprises. Mechanisms for dong this will most likely involve: (i) Choice of new combinations of existing farm enterprises to increase average income and reduce income risk in the long term (ii) Utilise resources such as different land and soil types more efficiently (iii) Introduce new enterprises into their farming systems (iv) Introduce new components or aspects of a production process into their farming system. More than 1,800 producers are trialling Grain and Graze recommended practices. More than 1,000 producers have already adopted recommended practices and have attributed the changes to Grain and Graze participation. Approximately 800 participants claim to have ceased poor farming practices specifically on Grain and Graze advice. The average increase in profit achieved across the regions from adoption of Grain and Graze recommended practices is 9%. 4. Evergraze Many producers are aware of EverGraze and the project is well recognised in the temperate high rainfall zone. There is increased awareness in livestock industries of the potential for farming systems based on perennial plants that can also reduce recharge to control dryland salinity. The next step is to achieve adoption and practice change through demonstration and validation of new systems and development of guidelines for producers for the application of these systems. As the principal implementation phase of this investment is still being completed, it is too early to report on any significant outcomes in terms of new knowledge, validation and demonstration of systems. The target outcomes are a reduction in recharge by 50% (or an appropriate amount for each region) over current farming systems and an increase in profitability by 50% across the whole farm (above best practice animal enterprises). 5. Biological Control of Weeds Up to 2006, there had been 4,000 releases of specific biological control agents for Patersons curse, Onopordum thistles, horehound and blue heliotrope. A network of more than 1,700 graziers was involved in the project and were integrating biological control into their pasture management regimes. There had been 322 weed control training workshop, talks, interviews and field days held across Australia (CSIRO Entomology, 2006). The total number of agents released more than doubled over the two years to 2006 compared to the previous seven years. This increased rate of release is due to the success in regional field collections so that the need to rear insects in the laboratory has been by-passed. There has been a reduction in direct costs (e.g. weed toxicity, herbicide use, low pasture productivity) and indirect costs (stock management issues) associated with the targeted weeds. Also, there has been an improved understanding by producers of weeds in farming systems and of the benefits of an integrated weed management approach incorporating the concepts of biological control, herbicide control, grazing management and pasture renovation. The active participation by producers has led to ownership of the process and outcomes in the context of a community based distribution system. 6. Pasture Breeding and Establishment Pasture breeding programs have generated improved types of ryegrass, tall fescue, lucerne, and other legumes. Continual adoption of new pasture species and cultivars by producers in temperate Australia. 7. Lamb Finishing Information on supplementation strategies and lot feeding guidelines for finishing lambs. Adoption of improved nutritional practices in finishing lambs. However, adoption of lot feeding has not been widespread due to the economic sensitivity of such practices to the level of purchased feed inputs. PRODUCING TO MARKET SPECIFICATIONS 1. Projects focusing on encouraging value based marketing (including Trim Lamb, Elite Lamb, and the Lamb Consistency Key Program) The production RD&E component of this investment focused on the importance of: delivering what the market required how to produce what the market required how to understand price grids and utilise forward contracts the advantage to the producer of selling lambs through value based marketing systems The proportion of lamb supply to the market using value based marketing systems increased (e.g. about 6% of lambs were sold over the hooks in 1994 compared to nearly 40% a decade later in 2004). The number of lamb alliances increased to 26, as did the number of lamb producer groups (78 in 2001 compared to zero in 1990) (Alliance Consulting and Management, 2002). More even spread of lamb turnoff during the year as illustrated by a falling peak to trough ratio of supply. Facilitated a higher proportion of lamb product meeting market and consumer requirements. Feedback from butchers and boning rooms to processors and from processor to producers regarding end user requirements. 2. Clear Market Signals and LIDS (Livestock Identification and Description System)System of ticketing carcases with information regarding carcase characteristics.3. National Lamb Marketing Team The PDO positions commenced in 1993 and were established in Victoria, NSW, WA and SA. MANAGEMENT - ENHANCING ADOPTION 1. Best Wool/Best Lamb. As of June 06, there were 34 groups with 271 enterprises aligned to these groups. Benefits mentioned by group members in a 2006 survey included: Sheep management and nutrition Farm management skills Cost reductions Forward selling Technical knowledge Wool marketing Marketing of prime lambs and sire selection were mentioned as well as stocking rates and feed requirements.In an evaluation of the Bestwool/Bestlamb program in 2008, Hassall and Associates report improvements for members knowledge, skills, confidence, aspiration and practices with 73% reporting they had used the information to improve their farm practice; 45% of members felt the changes has led to on-farm production increases, and 33% reported their farm profitability had increased (Hassall and Associates, 2008). Forty three percent reported greater emphasis on lamb over the past three years. Improved technologies applied included improved sheep feeding, nutrition, drought management, improved pasture production, grazing management systems, sheep reproduction and lambing management, sheep health and diseases, genetics and breeding and animal welfare. The profit motive was the main factor driving adoption. One in seven members reported an increase in productivity of between 10 and 15%. One third of members indicated improvements in profitability varying from 0 to 15 %. The major constraints to adoption were the cost of making changes and having sufficient cash flow, lack of water and seasonal conditions. 2. Networks of Producer Groups Networks of producers were very important in disseminating the results of research and other MLA and State project information. For example, Lamb Marksman (the Victorian network) was the main delivery method within VIC DPI for WIGS courses and PIRD projects as well as the early days of EDGEnetwork?. Networks accelerated adoption of both production and marketing practices by lamb producers. These networks were vital in extending outputs through the 1990s (e.g. value chain work and alliances). For example, Lamb Marksman oversaw the development and facilitation of the prime lamb producer group network in Victoria with a membership of almost 600 producers responsible for around 10% of the Victorian lamb production. 3. Business Skills and Best Practice Business Skills and Best Practice (BSBP) developed material that was disseminated to producers in Victoria and elsewhere.There was an emphasis on the integration of key management decisions so that profitability improved.4. EDGEnetwork? A total of 2,771 sheep/lamb producer attendances have been recorded at EDGEnetwork? workshops since 2000. In addition, there have been 5,219 mixed farmer attendances where it can be assumed that 50% are sheep/lamb producers. Courses delivered by EDGEnetwork? since 2000 that are relevant to lamb production include: Effective Breeding Lamb/Terminal Sire Selection Money Making Merinos Money Making Mums Wean More Lambs BizCheck for Meat Enterprise Health Check LambCheque Making Business Decisions Working Records Prograze (delivered before EDGEnetwork? commenced) Prograze Update Lean Meat Yield Making More from Mutton Marketing Performance Markets and Customer Needs Healthy Soils Healthy Profits Salinity/Profit from Saline Land Weed Improvers, Pasture Improvers Managing Living Systems Farm Business Meetings Leadership Time Control Working in Groups Since the year 2000, the most frequently attended EDGEnetwork? courses for lamb producers were Prograze (3,769 lamb and southern beef producers), Terminal Sire Selection  formerly Effective Breeding with 1,192 attendees), and Wean More Lambs with 654 attendees (Michael Goldberg, pers comm., 2008). Enhanced productivity of meat and livestock production through improved management decision making leading to increased net farm income of producers. Hassall and Associates (2004) undertook a review of EDGEnetwork? with a focus on the impact and management arrangements. The review concluded that there had been a greater uptake of R&D findings due to EDGEnetwork? workshops, particularly regarding improvements in pastures, stocking rates and selection of breeding stock. These improvements had been translated into increases in farm cash income. Hassall and Associates reported a high satisfaction level with the training, although market penetration was low except for southern Australian beef producers and Victorian producers. Further potential existed in NSW and among lamb and northern beef producers. Marketing investment had been under-resourced and was in need of strengthening in order to increase throughput of participants and in order to get scale effects for the investment. Also, training needs analyses had not always been consistently applied suggesting that workshops were supply rather than demand driven. Collection of data about impacts had not been assembled and needed to be encouraged in future plans. Animals, business/ finance and feedbase/ pasture workshops contributed 90% of all participant attendances. Prograze and Prograze Update workshops contributed 69% of feedbase workshops attended. Producers consulted in the review indicated a 4% to 5.5% increase in productivity in the short term, with productivity increases up to 12% in the long term. MLA surveys indicate that 75% of these changed management practices occurred as a direct result of EDGEnetwork? courses. 5. FlockcareThe development of Flockcare involved consultations with organisations and individuals throughout industry in every state of Australia. Improved activities on-farm helping to meet expected standards regarding food safety, chemicals and residues; animal health, husbandry and welfare; and preparation, presentation and transport of lambs and mutton sheep for slaughter, live sheep sales, exports and sheepskins.6. PIRDS An estimated 20,000 producers connected to groups have had close or some contact with the meat PIRD scheme. Of these around 5,000 catlle and sheep producers would have been active or close to participants in the PIRDs (Welsman, 2001). There are indications that 50% to 100% of PIRD participants have made and will make significant changes as a result of their involvement. A study in 1998 calculated return on investment of ten completed PIRDs with a total net present value of $11 million, which would have returned MLA s investment many times for all PIRDS up to that time. Impacts reported in a review in 2005 included financial, regional, development of specific breeds, personal confidence, new networks and particular skills such as information technology (Pogson, 2005). A case study of a successful PIRD relating to lamb production is provided in Appendix 2 to this report. 7. MLA Prime Time The significant outputs and early stage outcomes generated by activities specific to the MLA Prime Time program over the two years (1 July 2003 to 30 June 2005) included: Around 18,000 lamb/sheep producers received MLA Prime Time information kits/booklets from MLA (via field days, forums, workshops etc) since 1 July 2003. Around 7,000 lamb/sheep producers (on various databases) had engaged directly with at least one specific MLA Prime Time program activity, including: 4,692 producers (and 585 agents/other) have attended 46 MLA Prime Time and Making More from Merinos forums; 1,700 producers requested (via 1800 Hotline) the Wean More Lambs guide; 415 producers have attended 18 MLA Prime Time workshops (hosted by agents); 752 producers participated in Wean More Lambs on-farm trials; 187 producers are participated in MLA Prime Time On-Farm Demonstration Sites More than two thirds of 8,700 lamb/sheep producers participating in the Prime Time forums stated they had changed management practices as a result of their participation. Changes reported included improving pasture management, reviewing lambing management and joining practices, sourcing better genetics, improving ewe/weaner nutrition, considering lot feeding /finishing of lambs, and thinking about performance in terms of production per hectare rather then per head (Harris and Rice, 2005). Other evidence to indicate whether these intended changes have or have not been made is mainly anecdotal from producer testimonials and on-farm case studies (e.g. & .. increased my weaning percentages by 10% since attending MLA Prime Time workshops etc). The MLA Lamb Survey in 2004 reported a 16% increase in ewes mated to produce Merino lambs, a 13% increase in estimated number of lambs on hand, and a forecasted 5% increase in ewes joined to produce prime lambs. The June 2004 producer survey (compared with results in June 2003) showed: The percentage of mixed farmers who used LAMBPLAN EBVs increased from 9% to 42%. The percentage of mixed farmers who used Merino Genetic Services EBVs increased from 6% to 28%. The percentage of mixed farmers who used PROGRAZE principles increased from 6% to 12%. Research in July 2005 of MLA Prime Time forum attendees (three to 21 months after a forum series) revealed that 67% of attendees had made at least one change to their on-farm/sheep management as a direct result of attending a forum. 8. General MLA programs and courses A 2007 survey revealed that 85% of the sheep/lamb producer population was aware of MLA programs. Based on a sample of sheep lamb producers who had attended or participated in a MLA course/program and who have changed management practices, 71% reported positive or very positive impacts. The most frequently mentioned types of impact were increased profitability or reduced cost of production. The Prime Time program was reported as having the highest level of impact across the livestock programs (Axiom Research, 2007).OTHER1. Sheep CRCOutputs were relevant to both wool production and meat production from sheep. Principal outcomes reported were in the scientific fields of genetics, meat science, parasite management, strategic nutrition and individual animal management.  6. Description of Industry Changes 6.1 Introduction Changes in the observed lamb industry performance over the period were extracted from relevant statistics. These changes included: Sheep and lamb population and lamb slaughterings Lamb carcase weights Lambing rate Export and domestic end use Lamb prices Productivity changes 6.2 Sheep and Lamb Population and Lamb Slaughter Numbers Table 6.1 and Figure 6.1 provide data on Australian sheep numbers and lamb slaughterings over the period 1990/91 to 2006/07. Data for the average over the period of the 1980s is presented to act as a base for the period before the investment commenced. Table 6.1: Australian Sheep Numbers and Lamb Slaughterings Year ending JuneLamb and sheep numbers (000)Lambs slaughtered (000)Average for 1981 to 1990 146,66217,1681991163,23816,3571992148,20315,7671993138,09915,4351994132,56915,0401995120,86215,2891996121,11614,2231997120,22814,5791998117,49214,9921999115,37716,0792000118,55217,5572001110,92818,6292002106,16617,400200399,25216,8702004101,28716,5622005101,12517,331200691,02718,666200786,30020,158 Source: MLA database Figure 6.1: Trend in Australian Sheep Numbers and Lamb Slaughterings  Source: MLA Database 6.3 Lamb Carcase Weights Table 6.2 and Figure 6.2 provide data on the carcase weights for Australian lambs slaughtered over the period 1990/91 to 2006/07. Data for the average weight over a period of the 1980s is presented to act as a base for the period before the investment commenced. Table 6.2: Australian Lamb Carcase Weights Year ending JuneCarcase weight (kg per head)Lambs slaughtered (000)Average for 1981 to 199017.0617,168199117.5816,357199217.4415,767199317.7315,435199417.7315,040199517.5215,289199618.6114,223199718.5414,579199818.9214,992199919.4116,079200019.7717,557200119.7218,629200220.0017,400200319.5316,870200420.5916,562200520.4017,331200620.4518,666200720.4720,000 Source: MLA Database Figure 6.2: Trends in Australian Lamb Carcase Weights  Source: MLA Database 6.4 Lambing Rate Table 6.3 and Figure 6.3 provide data on the lambing rate for enterprises producing slaughter lambs over the period 1990/91 to 2006/07. There appears no apparent trend in lamb marking rates for all lamb industries or specialist lamb producers. However, there has been variation between regions; those regions where there has been some improvement were located where there was a higher distribution of cross-bred and non-merino ewes and where prime lamb specialists dominated (Australian Venture Consultants, 2007). Table 6.3: Australian Lambing Rates (% lambs per ewes mated) Year ending JuneAll Lamb Industries Lamb industries where >20% receipts from prime lambs 199183.696.0199279.290.8199380.696.0199480.493.1199576.489.3199680.691.2199781.089.8199883.696.2199982.495.7200085.6100.7200182.297.8200283.695.3200379.591.9200483.595.8200585.196.2200683.292.8200782.789.5Source: ABARE, AgSurf, 2008 Figure 6.3: Trend in Lambing Rate  Source: ABARE, AgSurf, 2008 6.5 Export and Domestic End Use Table 6.4 provides data on the end use of Australian lamb over the period 1990/91 to 2005/06. Data for the latter part of the 1980s is presented to act as a base for the period before the investment commenced. Table 6.4: End Use of Australian Lamb Production (000 tonnes carcase weight) Calendar yearTotal Production Exports Apparent Domestic ConsumptionAverage for 1985 to 1990300.0 46.9253.11991274.342.0232.71992274.745.5230.51993258.756.2200.51994281.364.5220.11995263.055.1207.71996260.862.6197.21997279.978.3201.61998300.888.1212.21999318.8101.1216.92000368.2125.2243.02001352.6124.9227.82002337.6116.1221.62003329.8122.5207.32004340.2131.3208.92005374.8169.8205.02006399.8175.9223.5Source: ABARE (2007) Using 1985 to 1990 as a base, production of lamb (tonnes of carcase weight) grew by 33% over the period from 1991 to 2006, with exports growing by 275% and domestic consumption declining by 12%. 6.6 Lamb Prices Table 6.5 provides data on the saleyard prices for Australian lamb over the period. Table 6.5: Saleyard Prices for Australian Lamb (Australian cents per kg carcase weight) Calendar year Saleyard Price for Lamb Nominal $ terms2007/08 $ terms1991120.6187.91992131.4201.01993185.4280.71994146.3217.41995187.3270.01996237.4328.11997205.6280.41998 179.4 243.31999208.5279.82000170.1221.12001259.6318.32002339.4404.92003387.8450.22004365.8414.52005341.4377.62006319.7339.82007332.0345.92008324.0324.0Source: ABARE 2007; MLA database for 2007 and 2008 6.7 Productivity Changes Growth in output of an industry, such as that exhibited by the lamb industry over the past 18 years, can be generated, for example, by using more land or labour, that is by increasing input use. Another source of output growth can be productivity growth, that is a higher output per unit of one or more inputs. A useful general measure of productivity changes in an industry is total factor productivity (TFP). TFP is calculated by dividing an index of the volume of industry outputs by an index of the volume of industry inputs. Most total factor productivity measures for rural industries have been estimated from the annual farm survey data conducted by ABARE. Table 6.6 provides a summary of a number of studies undertaken in Australia that provide total factor productivity measures based on data since 1978. Some of these TFP estimates refer to sheep and others from survey data more specific to slaughter lamb production. Table 6.6: Total Factor Productivity Measures Type of farmProductivity gain PeriodDairyKnopke et al. (2000)Dairy farms1.6% pa1978-1999 (22 yrs)Males et al. (1990)Dairy farms1.9% pa1978-1989 (12 yrs)ABARE (2004a)Dairy farms 1.7% pa1978-2002 (15 yrs)ABARE (2004a)Dairy farms 2.1% pa1977-1990 (13 yrs)ABARE (2004a)Dairy farms 1.1% pa1988-2002 (14 yrs)GrainsKnopke et al (2000)Cropping farms3.6 % pa1978-1999 (22 yrs)Mixed crop-livestock2.6% pa 1978-1999 (22 yrs)All crop farms3.2% pa1978-1999 (22 yrs)Knopke, Strappazon and Mulle, 1995)Cropping farms4.6% pa1978-1994 (17 yrs)Mixed crop livestock3.2 % pa1978-1994 (17 yrs)All crop farms3.8 % pa1978-1994 (17 yrs)ABARE (2004a)Crop specialists 3.3% pa1977-2002 (25 yrs)WoolKnopke et al (2000)Sheep0.6% pa1978-1999 (22 yrs)Knopke, Strappazon and Mullen 1995)Sheep1.0 % pa1978-1994 (17 yrs)Anon (1995)SheepResults reported by state and zone and ranged from 0 to 1% pa 1979-1994 (16 yrs)BeefKnopke et al (2000)Beef2.1 % pa1978-1999 (22 yrs)Knopke, Strappazon and Mullen, 1995)Beef1.6% pa1978-1994 (17 yrs)ABARE (2004a)Beef specialists 1.8% pa1977-2002 (25 yrs)Broadacre industries Knopke et al (2000)All broadacre farms2.6 % pa1978-1999 (22 yrs)Knopke, Strappazon and Mullen 1995)All broadacre farms2.6 % pa1978-1994 (17 yrs)Mullen and Cox (1995)All broadacre farms2.3% pa1953-1988 (36 yrs)Males et al (1990)All broadacre farms2.2% pa1978-1989 (12 yrs)Mixed sheep farms ABARE (2004a)Sheep -beef1.0% pa1977-2002 (25 yrs)ABARE (2004a)Sheep-crops 2.5% pa1977-2002 (25 yrs)Mixed crop-livestock ABARE (2008)Mixed crop-livestock1.7% pa1977-2006 (29 yrs)Sheep IndustryABARE (2008)Sheep 0.3% pa1977-2006 (29 yrs)Sheep specialist farms ABARE (2004a)Sheep specialist farms 0.9% pa1977-2002 (25 yrs)ABARE (2004a)Sheep specialist farms 0.6% pa1977-1990 (13 yrs)ABARE (2004a)Sheep specialist farms 1.2% pa1988-2002 (14 yrs)ABARE (2004a)Specialist prime lamb farms 1.6%1977-2002 (25 yrs)ABARE (2004a)Farms with prime lambs where prime lamb receipts >20% 0.8% pa1988-2002ABARE (2004a)Farms with prime lambs where prime lamb receipts 5-20%2.8%1988-2002ABARE (2004a)Farms with prime lambs where prime lamb receipts <5%0.3%1988-2002 It is evident from Table 6.6 that the highest productivity growth in Australian broadacre agriculture has been in the grains sector (TFP growth of over 3% pa), followed by the beef and dairy industries (just under 2% pa) and then by the sheep/wool industry (around 1% pa). Within the sheep industry however, it can be concluded that there are significant differences with specialist prime lamb farms achieving higher productivity growth than that for wool and specialist sheep farms. A study by ABARE (Hooper, 2007) reported that sheep producers with the highest total factor productivity had adapted a host of management practices to boost the productivity of their enterprise. These included weekly calculation of forage or pasture budgets, use of fat condition scoring, ensuring ewes are at minimum condition score (3) at joining, weighing sheep and use of formal measurement techniques to assess pasture available at lambing. The most productive farms were more likely to sell prime lambs and fattened sheep, resulting in these producers realising higher average sheep and lamb prices. Linkages between Productivity and R&D Investment While productivity changes are usually associated with technological change (and hence are likely to be a result of R&D investment), other factors also influence annual productivity changes. These include seasonal conditions (climate, disease outbreaks), use of irrigation, and changing industry structures such as scale or specialisation changes. The RD&E investment considered here may have had some linkages with some of these change drivers. Linking productivity changes to R&D investment can be effected quantitatively via econometric/production function approaches. Also, qualitative approaches can be used to explain single or total factor productivity changes by reference to R&D activities and outputs. Qualitative associations have been made between R&D outputs and productivity changes in a number of industries including cotton where the relative contribution of some important factors contributing to the increase in cotton yields in Australia in the past 20 years (Constable, 2000) are: Plant breeding 45% Soil-nutrition-irrigation management 25% Insect control 20% Disease management 10% In 1999 the increase in milk yield per cow and the increasing protein and fat content of milk was attributed to: Supplementary feeding Improved genetics Pasture management Intensive feeding Much of the increased productivity observed over the past 80 years in dried fruits has been attributed to: Trellising systems Irrigation management Vigour enhancing and salt/nematode resistant rootstocks Virus free clonal grapevines A study by Knopke et al (2000) refers to workshops to identify drivers of past productivity growth in the grains industry. Gains had come from a wide range of factors including many that were R&D related. Major factors included: Management and work skills Farm amalgamations and scale of operations Plant breeding Improved crop rotations Tillage practices Better pest (including weeds) and disease control More and better targeted fertiliser use Advances in tractor and machinery design Given that many of these drivers are associated with technological change, a further consideration is whether Australian funded R&D dominated such technological change. The issue is that some technological change may have occurred due to the ingenuity of farmers, as well as technology directly imported from overseas. One of the challenges of the current analysis is to identify the factors contributing to the productivity growth in the Australian slaughter lamb industry over the past 18 years. Productivity growth from technical change over a particular period can emanate from new technology that is developed and adopted during the period or from technology available at the beginning of the period that is adopted by more producers during the period. Both of these sources of change have occurred in the Australian slaughter lamb industry. 7. Description of Key Drivers of Change Despite a 41% decrease in sheep numbers since the 1980s, lamb supply for slaughter has increased markedly over the period 1991 to 2008. A key driver of this change has been the response to strengthening lamb prices and the ensuing relative profitability of lamb production for slaughter versus that from wool production. This change has been accompanied by changes in enterprise mix, flock make-up, and production practices in traditional lamb producing areas, as well as expansion of the industry to new locations. The key to improved profitability has been the ability to produce a heavier leaner lamb desired by the market. The following is an attempt to define the key drivers of change in the lamb industry since 1990. 7.1 Pre-Investment Situation (pre 1990-91) The prime lamb industry has been traditionally based on the progeny of prime lamb sires mated to first cross ewes. The first cross ewes were produced from merino ewes mated to, for example, Border Leicester rams. This mating also produced wether lambs and cull ewe lambs sold as first cross prime lambs. Prime lambs (used to be called fat lambs at the time) were therefore mostly a by product of merino wool production systems in the high rainfall zone as well as from mixed farming properties in the wheat-sheep zone further inland. In the 1980s the sheep industry was experiencing poor profitability. Slaughter lamb production was fragmented and depressed as lamb consumption was declining. For example, the domestic market was dominant but consumption of lamb in Australia had dropped from 28 kg per capita in 1971 to 14 kg per capita in the early 1980s (Howard et al, 2007). Lamb portrayed an image of being fatty and variable in quality. However, a good deal of the groundwork was laid in the 1980s for what happened in the next two decades. DPI Victoria had begun working on lamb carcase attributes and larger leaner carcases with meat science projects including carcase attributes and feedlot trials. The DPI also developed a stronger consumer focus (Howard et al, 2007) with regard to consumer preferences and specifications and the recognition of the importance of feedback along the supply chain to producers. Together with the MLA predecessor, they jointly developed projects on trimmed and boneless cuts as well as the validation of manual fat score assessments. The genesis of LAMBPLAN also took place in the 1980s in NSW when the opportunity became apparent for making greater genetic improvements using objective measurement for growth initially and then for reducing fat and increasing muscle (Fogarty, 2008). Terminal sire carcase trials and validation then took place in NSW and Victoria. At the end of the decade the abandonment of the reserve price scheme for wool lead to lower wool prices, reduced profitability of wool growing, and a greater interest in lamb. The Decade of the 1990s 1990-1994 In the first few years of the decade there were the rudiments of a supply chain for lamb that was beginning to develop, but domestic consumption of lamb was still falling. State DPIs focused more on new production systems and their integration with the supply chain requirements. Producer focus groups increased and best-bet production systems for meeting market specification were extended to producers. These included aspects of feeding systems for filling lamb supply gaps, use of fertiliser and improved pasture species and alternate forms of grazing management. Increasingly, lamb projects were jointly funded by the Meat Research Corporation (MRC) (now MLA) and the State DPIs. The terminal sire central progeny test project was run in conjunction with several state DPIs. This was a national project aimed at validating the LAMPLAN terminal sire estimated breeding values (Australian Sheep Breeding values or ASBVs) that had been developed earlier. This national project was completed during the 1990s. During the decade the genetic focus shifted from terminal sires to maternal sires where trials were established to validate the maternal sire ASBVs. In the mid 1990s the Lamb Industry Strategic Plan (LISP) was developed. The LISP followed MRC s Prime Lamb Key Program (1990-1995), the first program to focus nationally on supply constraints via cultural changes needed in the lamb industry to support forecast increases in demand in higher value export and food service markets. Mainstays of the whole of industry plan (LISP) were to link product quality and value to price through the supply chain, as well as ensure consistent product supply and profitable lamb producing enterprises. The LISP was integrated into all MRC activities as well as those of the State DPIs. A key activity within LISP was the creation of Lamb Industry Development Teams in each lamb producing State. These Development Teams encouraged communication along the supply chain and better understanding of industry goals and the part to be played by producers. They also ensured that each State contributed towards the LISP outcomes. Seven important factors were identified in the LISP (Sheepmeat Council of Australia, 1998): the meeting of market segment needs a customer focused culture consistency of products improved image consumer driven trading mechanisms frequent meaningful communication with industry appropriate education and training programs At the end of the decade many of the elements of the LISP were still relevant to the progress of the Australian lamb industry. 1995-2000 By the mid 1990s, there were significant improvements evident in the lamb industry due to (Howard et al, 2007): a change in producer attitudes regarding integration of farm management and marketing leading to increased carcase weights and greater consistency of supply with a noticeable shift towards year round production. a gradual shift in consumer perceptions of lamb from a new marketing strategy for lamb including short cuts, lamb family favourites, trim lamb, multicultural lamb and new trim lamb. As marketing and promotion investment intensified during the 1990s, the new image of lamb had started to create an increase in both domestic and export demand with associated price improvements. Lamb marketing alliances were a major driver of change that linked producers through to the requirements of the market. These alliances were facilitated in many cases by State DPIs and MRC (now MLA). A high level of investment was evident in facilitating networking (e.g. Lamb Marksman in Victoria and the development of similar producer networks in other states), extension and education, including accredited training courses. For example, BSBP (Business Skills and Best Practice) improved overall enterprise management skills, rather than just production skills. Other joint programs between the States and MRC/MLA were developed such as Sustainable Grazing Management (SGS) and PROGRAZE where both productivity and environmental outcomes were pursued together. The total number of lambs slaughtered during the 1990s declined slightly but from 1999 commenced to rise. Carcase weights increased during the 1990s. Banks (2003) reported that carcase weights had been growing at 85 g/hd per annum pre 1990 but through the 1990s were growing at 260 g/hd per annum, or 3 times as fast. Domestic consumption remained fairly flat but the proportion and number of lambs exported increased significantly. Prices rose in real terms during the second half of the 1990s, partly in response to the higher proportion exported and the supply of larger leaner lambs. A large part of this change can be attributed to the investment by MLA and the States DPIs in raising the awareness of producers of the opportunities available for pursuing market requirements. In the latter part of the 1990s investment further pursued consistency and continuity supply of product that competitively met customer specifications at each stage of the production and marketing chain. MRC/MLA program objectives at the end of the decade were (MLA Transitional Corporate Plan 1998/99 to 2000/01): to increase the consistency of supply and quality of lamb by focusing on the dedicated lamb industry to further increase the number of businesses aiming to meet their customers needs to increase the number of lambs sold in the large lean lamb category Significant marketing and promotional investment was made overseas, particularly in North America. The sheepmeat marketing budget was far greater than that for RD&E on the supply side. The Last Eight Years (2001-2008) The Sheep Industry Strategic Plan (SISP) for the period 1999-2005 was produced in 1998, but was far less ambitious and had a lesser impact than the earlier LISP. The last eight years have seen the continuation of value based marketing systems. One objective was to increase the number of lambs sold directly to processors or via lamb marketing alliances (MLA Corporate Plan: 1999/2000 to 2001/02). While this was successful in that more producers were delivering lambs to market specifications, still a high proportion of lambs are still sold at saleyards (See Figure 7.1). Since 2003/04, other data for 2005/06 and 2006/07 show that the percentage of lamb sales over the hooks has remained at about 30%, paddock sales have remained at about 13%, and auction sales have been 48-56%. Figure 7.1: Change in Selling Methods for Prime Lamb: Australia  Source: ABARE, 2004b A significant extension and training effort continued during this period. The uptake of technology has continued and has added to improved operating efficiencies on farms. The use of LAMBPLAN increased with LAMBPLAN users and the industry starting to benefit from maternal sire information. Carcase weights continued to increase and then plateau. There were serious interruptions to supply due to droughts in the past 8 years. There was a reduced variation in turnoff of lambs across the year. Prices increased in the early years of this period and then stabilised. The proportion of lambs exported increased significantly. A more vertical structure has developed in the lamb industry with greater specialisation by breeders, finishers and feedlotters (Howard et al, 2007). The profitability of lamb producers (excluding the drought periods) increased in the past eight years. The profitability of cropping and beef increased significantly so reducing to some extent the advance of the lamb enterprise in mixed enterprise farms. In the early part of the eight years (1998-2003), dual purpose first cross lamb production was the most profitable of livestock enterprises (Holmes Sackett and Associates, 2003). Prime lamb profitability had been driven by an increase in the kg of lamb produced per hectare, through higher stocking rates, weaning percentages, or weight at sale. However, it was difficult to achieve all three increases at once. For example, if higher gross margins were achieved with an increase in weaning rate (more lambs) or heavier lambs, then there was a need for management skills to deal with the extra feed demand from extra mouths and body weight. One way was by reducing stocking rates not by increasing them, others by increasing supplementary feeding, use of fodder crops etc. This meant that stocking rate and genetics were the key factors driving profitability. Summary of Key Drivers of Change Nominating key drivers of change is partly a subjective process, particularly in terms of the direction of causality. The key drivers of change over the period 1990/91 to 2007/08 have included the following: Generic/Integration factors The recognition of the latent demand for a larger leaner lamb in the market place; this happened during the 1980s. The recognition and exploitation of this latent demand through both production and market investment by State agencies and MLA. MLA (including AMLRDC and MRC) and State agencies clearly played important roles in planning, funding and coordination. In addition, industry organisations and sectors (including breed societies, producer groups, and the Sheepmeat Council, lamb processors and marketers were also critical players in the progress made. Attention to planning and strategy led to the Lamb Industry Strategic Plan (LISP) which provided unity of purpose, vision, enthusiasm and a clear industry goal (Banks, 2003). Lack of profitability of wool production from the late 1980s was responded to by producers seeking more profitable enterprises and therefore being responsive to a potentially profitable enterprise such as lamb production. The coordinated national program of research, production and product development, marketing and promotion was developed in the early 1990s to arrest the declining consumption and boost exports; MLA coordinated and funded the program with the State agencies, with particularly NSW and Victoria taking a leading role in research, production and marketing areas (Fogarty, 2008). The early successes in demonstrating commercial advantages and production possibilities for heavier and leaner carcasses led to a combined effort to develop a common strategy and plan for the industry; profitable markets were developed by processors with major promotional support from MLA (Fogarty, 2008). Production drivers The ability via LAMBPLAN, and the access to improved genetic technology it provided, to deliver a larger leaner lamb. The translation of demand into market specifications and the delivery of market specifications by producers. The education of, and extension to, producers regarding market specifications including the role of lamb marketing alliances. The development of new technology in terms of feed production year round, feed utilisation and grazing management. New feeding systems including new sources of feed supply that allowed year round production. These included lupins to stimulate ovulation and sperm production, different feed types (stubbles, lucerne, perennial pastures etc), fertiliser rates and timing of operations (Howard et al, 2007). Plant improvement including selection, breeding and genetic improvement of grasses and legumes. Also contributing was improved weed and pest control, grazing management and generally improved nutritional management. A higher level of uptake of both new and existing technology by lamb producers as a result of increasing profitability as well as the industry investment in extension, communication and training packages and the ensuing technology application and skills development by producers. Increased prices in the latter part of the period due to higher market satisfaction increased profitability of lamb production and pushed supply higher; for example, prior to 1991 the real price of lamb was declining by $0.26 per year, while from 1991 on, real price has been rising steadily by $0.28 per year. The increased lamb numbers for slaughter commenced around 2-3 years after the turnaround in real income per lamb. Between 1997 and 2000, producers responded to rising real prices for lamb (and falling wool prices) and lambs slaughtered rose significantly (Banks, 2003). An overall lower net cost of production of lamb in real $ terms over the period. Market drivers An improved lamb product commenced with larger leaner lambs and less fatty cuts, new cuts, and boneless lamb from the late 1980s onwards. At the same time, genetic improvement began to deliver larger leaner lambs (genetic change allowed heavier lambs to carry less fat than otherwise). These two factors drove real prices slowly upwards and more producers started to switch to lamb production (Banks, 2003). The promotional effort in the market place, both domestic and international helped develop the market; for example, the professional marketing campaigns of Trim Lamb on the domestic market and the Fresh Australian Range Lamb Program (FARL) in North America. Better defined market specifications. Export market entry efforts (e.g. USA). Eating quality improvements. It should be noted that market research in the 1980s identified that the market was signaling a requirement for less fat, so it is possible some degree of movement away from fatty carcases would have happened without the post 1990 RD&E investment. Development of skins as co-products. More attention to food safety. 7.5 Key Lamb Productivity Drivers The key drivers of change stimulated by the RD&E investment included: genetic improvement potential reduced lamb supply variability due to new feeding and grazing management systems a higher level of adoption of both the new and older technology due to increased profitability and the active coordination and extension effort made by the State agencies working together under the LISP The improved genetic characteristics of second cross lamb sires, together with the improved genetics of sires producing crossbred ewes were a major driver of change. Potential productivity and product quality rose by 4% pa on average though the 1990s (Banks, 2003). Also, Howard et al (2007) report the rate of genetic gain in lamb industry was 3.7% per annum from 1996 to 2005 (over a nine year period the index rose from 111 to 148). Banks (pers. comm., 2008) has provided data that demonstrate the rate of genetic gain has continued to rise (Figure 7.2). The terminal sire (TS) gain has been substantial and, together with lesser gains sourced from the maternal sires, has resulted in a gain of over $10 per lamb since 1990 in constant 1997 lamb price terms. This gain would be far greater in terms of current lamb prices. Figure 7.2 shows also the actual gain (overall impact line in Figure 7.2) that has probably been realised by lamb producers, given that LAMBPLAN has impacted on about 70% of lambs slaughtered. Figure 7.2: Rate of Genetic Gain per Lamb due to LAMBPLAN (1997 $ terms)  SHAPE \* MERGEFORMAT  Source: Banks, pers.comm., 2008 (ii) The availability of new technology and production systems allowed producers to pursue a more consistent year round supply of lamb. For example, the peak to trough ratio of Australian production is shown in Figure 7.3. Thatcher (2002) reports data up to 2001 for both standard deviation of the index of monthly slaughter and the peak to trough ratio. Thatcher s figures show that monthly slaughter in Victoria and NSW became more consistent by both measures but SA and WA became more variable in 2001. Analysis in the current analysis of monthly saleyard numbers of lambs sold from 1997 to 2007 did not show any significant trend in the standard deviation of monthly sales within years over that period. Figure 7.3: Consistency of Lamb Supply, 1991  2001  Source: MLA; Howard et al, 2007, based on MLA data. (iii) The various extension and communication programs assisted producers to adopt best practice in producing to market specifications and took advantage of the increased profitability of lamb production due to the stronger market demand. The increased profitability of lamb production over the period can be seen in Figure 7.4. The poorer performance in the latter period has been influenced significantly by drought. Figure 7.4: Financial Performance of the Australian Slaughter Lamb Industry  Source: Hooper at al (2008) 7.6 Summary of Benefits Associated with the Investment A summary of the benefits that have emerged from the investment in lamb production RD&E is provided in Table 7.1. Most of these benefits from the RD&E investment can be considered industry benefits and are distributed along the lamb value chain including lamb consumers in Australia and in export markets. There have also been some natural resource management and environmental benefits captured from this production orientated investment but they are not the main focus of this report. In addition there have been some social benefits captured, predominantly as spin-offs from pursuing productivity and profitability objectives. Table 7.1: Summary of the Benefits from the Investment 1. Lowered industry cost of production of lamb from production of larger leaner lambs and other new technology 2. More consistent supply of lambs during the year 3. Increased numbers of producers exploiting lowered cost of production per hectare 4. Increased proportion of production meeting market specifications 5. Higher level of profitability of lamb production  8. Framework and Assumptions for Valuing Benefits General Approach The approach used to value the benefits from the investment is a  top-down approach. This is applied to estimate the differences that the RD&E production investments for lamb have made compared to what would have occurred if the investments had not been made in lamb production RD&E. This recognises the possibility that productivity gains could have been made without the investment. After calculating the total benefits from the combined investment, the benefits to the MLA/DPI investment alone are then estimated as a proportion of the total benefits calculated. This proportion is based on the MLA/DPI investment as a proportion of total combined investment made by MLA, DPIs and others. An alternative approach could have been to focus on the benefits that have emanated from the MLA investment alone. This would have required the development of a scenario about what would have happened without the MLA investment (but with the state DPI investment). As the State DPIs combined have made a significant contribution to costs and delivered most of the benefits, this alternative approach would have required addressing leverage directions and cost shifting issues in the development of any counterfactual scenario. Also, as the State DPIs and MLA worked closely together over this period, it appeared more meaningful to assess the combined investment as the key focus. The top down approach follows the general process used by CIE (2001), Griffiths (2005), and Vere et al (2005). This approach assumes productivity growth scenarios for both with and without the specified investment. The differences in the value of benefits for the  with and  without RD&E investments are then valued. This net benefit stream is then matched with the combined RD&E investment over the period 1990/91 to 2007/08 (Tables 3.1 and 3.2, and other investment). It should be noted that the gains due to RD&E investment include those driven by new technology as well as by the effort made in encouraging producers to adopt existing technology and the general philosophy of improvement driven by the MLA / State DPI / industry coordination and leadership in integrating supply with demand requirements. No attempt has been made to separate the research versus adoption impacts due to lack of data. The first challenge therefore is to define the counterfactual scenario, that is, what would have happened to lamb productivity in the event of no RD&E investment over the period 1990/91 to 2007/08. Counterfactual Scenario The broad assumptions made for the counterfactual situation are listed below: The number of producers adopting both existing and any new technology would have been significantly lower, and adoption far slower, without the RD&E investment. The genetics initiative (LAMBPLAN) would have received much less financial support, the service would have been significantly weaker and producers would not have used the selection aids as much. The pursuit of larger leaner lambs would have been still been driven to some extent by existing knowledge held in the 1980s and the marketing effort by processors, but the pursuit would have been less effective with significantly fewer larger leaner lambs delivered and less lambs meeting specifications. The lambs may not have been of the quality and weight that actually was required. Most importantly, if the demand side aspects of investment had not been made, the higher prices and ensuing profitability of production would not have occurred to the extent it has and the production RD&E would have been far less effective. The fall in wool prices would have driven some interest in lamb, but this may have been counteracted by the higher crop prices in the sheep wheat zone. The situation at the beginning of the period was that with the wool price going down, producer income would have fallen, and there would have been limited resources for investment; lamb consumption would have dropped further with more chicken and pork consumed domestically and perhaps beef, and the export market for lamb would not have developed. There would have been more cropping on wheat-sheep farms and more beef produced on HRZ farms in the 1990s and into the 2000s. A key assumption for the counterfactual is that neither the MLA demand side nor the production RD&E investment by MLA, DPIs and other would have been made. It is important to recognise that each investment needed the other, that is, if only market investment or production RDE occurred on its own, then the industry would have gained very little benefit. Productivity Gains from Production RD&E without DPI/MLA Investment It is assumed that there would still have been some small productivity gains over the period 1990/91 to 2007/08, without the RD&E investments. The counterfactual productivity gains are estimated to be only a fraction of the productivity gains that occurred earlier during the earlier 1980s when RD&E was evident. It is assumed that the previous Total Factor Productivity was 1% per annum for sheepmeat during the 1980s (See Table 6.6). This assumption does not refer to any specific industry group or time period but was gleaned from the array of results reported in the table. The productivity gain used for the counterfactual situation post 1990 is estimated at 0.3% per annum. This estimate compares with the 1% per annum gain during the 1980s. It is assumed that some genetic gain would still have occurred (e.g. from efforts of stud breeders, and perhaps imported germplasm from New Zealand). There still may have been some lamb price effect driving adoption due to processors and marketers contributing to some  pull of imported product through the marketing chain. The activity of private sector consultants may have increased. The cost of production of lamb in 1990/91 is assumed to have been $2.96 per kg carcase weight in 2007/08 $ terms. This has been derived from an average cost of production of $2.25 per kg in 2007/08 (MLA, 2007) adjusted for the observed productivity changes over the period. The $2.25 per kg has been estimated as the mid point of the range of production costs for the middle group of farms ($2.01 to 2.52 per kg). Lowering cost of production through productivity improvements for lamb would most likely occur from the spreading of fixed overhead costs over more product, rather than cutting absolute costs per se (Holmes Sackett and Associates, 2005). The productivity gains applied in this evaluation take into account any increase in inputs required to gain the additional production. The productivity gain of 0.3% per annum was then translated into a cost of production reduction; for example in 1990/91 the cost reduction would have been 0.003 times 2.96 or 0.8 cents per kg (2007/08 $ terms). This annual gain would have been cumulative. Most of the productivity changes have been output increasing rather than input reducing. The potential annual benefit at the prevailing level of output in the 1980s would have been therefore 17.06 kg per head (Table 6.2) times the number of lambs slaughtered (17,168,000) (Table 6.1) times the cost reduction per kg. The counterfactual productivity gains have been phased in from 1990/91. These  without gains fall from 1% in 1989/90 to 0.3% by 1994/95. This is supported by Manson and Black (2004) who estimated from previous econometric work the percentage of productivity gain from R&D in South Australia for the sheep industry at 70%. A conservative approach to estimating economic surplus has been applied. The economic surplus approach assumes a downward shift of the supply curve due to the cost reduction (Edwards and Freebairn, 1981). The method used in this analysis estimates the economic surplus by multiplying the unit cost reduction by the average quantity produced before the investment commenced. This ignores the additional economic surplus caused by the downward shift of the supply curve; in most cases this additional surplus is relatively insignificant and therefore the method used here is a reasonable approximation (Mullen, 1996). This additional surplus is directly related to the elasticities of the demand and supply curves. The added lamb production observed during the period will be valued in the demand side analysis currently being carried out by CIE and has been driven primarily by marketing success and associated price and profitability impacts. It is assumed that these factors have been more important in driving the lamb output increases than the lowering of the cost of production. Scenario with the Research Investment It is assumed the productivity gains with the RD&E investment over the 1990/91 to 2007/08 period and for a period thereafter would have been significantly greater then 0.3% per annum. From 1988/89 to 2001/02 total factor productivity growth for specialist prime lamb farms is reported at 1.6% per annum. This productivity factor comprised 3.75% p.a. in outputs less 2.1 % in inputs (ABARE, 2004). The productivity gains varied between different groups of prime lamb farms. Specialist prime lamb farms varied from 0.3% to 2.8% per annum (ABARE, 2004). From the above it is assumed that the annual productivity gain over the period approximated 1.6%. This may be conservative as the last year included in the ABARE study was 2001/02 and it is likely that higher rates of productivity gains could have occurred since that time. The 1.6% includes both change driven by both new technology and improvements from the research investment driven by research (e.g. LAMBPLAN) as well as the increased adoption of relevant existing technology. The cost of production of lamb in 1990/91 is again assumed to be $2.96 per kg carcase weight in 2007/08 $ terms. The productivity gain of 1.6% per annum was then translated into a cost of production reduction; for example in 1990/91 the cost reduction would have been 0.016 times 2.96 or 4.7 cents per kg (2007/08 $ terms). This annual gain would have been cumulative. The potential annual benefit at the prevailing level of output in the 1980s would have been therefore 17.06 kg per head (Table 6.2) times the number of lambs slaughtered (17,168,000) (Table 6.1) times $0.047 per kg. The  with RD&E gain is phased in from a level of 1% in 1989/90 to 1.6% in 1994/95 and thereafter. Also, the  with productivity gains are assumed to peak in 2007/08 (when the investment finishes) and then falls back to the without level (0.3%) by 2011/12. It should be noted that the benefit is estimated only on the production level that was occurring in the 1980s. This is a conservative approach. Any added production is valued in the demand side analysis and has been driven primarily by market success and associated demand curve shifts. Mullen (2007) suggests that a large component of TFP gains can be attributed to technical change. However, not all of the observed productivity gains can be attributed to technical change or the technology generated by Australian research and the encouragement of its subsequent adoption. Non technical sources of change, for example, may have been the rising education level of farmers and infrastructure improvements to transport and communications (Mullen, 2007). The case is made here that the Australian RD&E investment that has occurred has been the major driver of observed productivity change in the lamb industry and that other factors would have contributed only marginally. For purposes of this analysis, it is assumed that the specified RD&E investment would have contributed to 90% of the assumed productivity change. This is higher than the 70% attributed to R&D by Manson and Black (2004) for the sheep industry as a whole. Summary of Assumptions for Valuing Benefits A summary of the assumptions made for valuing the principal benefits from the RD&E investment are given in Table 8.1. Table 8.1: Assumptions for Estimating Investment Criteria for Lamb Production RD&E Variable Assumption SourceProduction levels in 1980sNumber of lambs slaughtered 17,168,000 lambsTable 6.1Average weight lambs 17.06 kg per lamb Table 6.2Productivity gain occurring during the 1980s1.0% per annum Based on Table 6.3Cost of production in 1989/90$2.96 per kg in 2007/08 terms after adjustment for productivity changes Based on $2.25 in 2007/08 in 2007/08 $ terms (derived from MLA, 2007) Without MLA/DPI Investment Annual productivity gain 1990/91 to 2007/08 and thereafter 1% in 1989/90 falling to 0.3% by 1994/95 and then remaining constant Agtrans Research estimate based on Manson and Black (2004) With MLA/DPI Investment Annual productivity gain 1990/91 to 2007/08 and thereafter 1% in 1989/90 rising to 1.6% by 1994/95 and remaining constant until 2007/08 after which falling to 0.3% p.a. by 2011/12. Based on Table 6.3Proportion of gain attributed to RD&E90%Agtrans Research estimate based on Manson and Black (2004) with adjustment for the higher level of adoption of technology by the specialised lamb industry  9. Investment Criteria Results All past costs and benefits were expressed in 2007/08 dollar terms using the CPI. All benefits after 2007/08 were expressed in 2007/08 dollar terms. All costs and benefits were discounted or compounded to 2007/08 using a discount rate of 5%. The discount rate of 5% was selected in line with the guidelines of the standardised evaluation process adopted by the Committee of Chairs of the Rural R&D Corporations. The base analysis used the best estimates of each variable, notwithstanding a high level of uncertainty for many of the estimates. The standard analysis ran for 20 years from the last year of investment (2007/08). Investment criteria of Net Present Value (NPV), Benefit-Cost Ratio (B/C Ratio) and Internal Rate of Return (IRR) were estimated at a discount rate of 5%. The NPV is the difference between the Present Value of Benefits (PVB) and the Present Value of Costs (PVC). Present values are the sum of discounted streams of benefits and/or costs. The B/C Ratio is the ratio of the PVB to the PVC. The IRR is the discount rate that would equate the PVB and the PVC, thus making the NPV zero and the B/C ratio 1:1. A glossary of economic terms is available in Appendix 3. Results are presented for the total RD&E investment, the MLA/DPI investment combined, the MLA investment alone and the DPI investment alone. The attribution of the total benefits stream is based on the proportion of total costs in 2007/08 $ terms that have been contributed by each grouping. The proportions are: All investment: 100% of benefits MLA/State investment 86% of benefits MLA investment 46.5% of benefits State DPIs 39.5% of benefits The investment criteria are reported in Table 9.1. Total investment includes that for MLA, State DPIs and other public RD&E investment such as that from CSIRO and the Universities. Table 9.1: Investment Criteria for Investment in Lamb Production R&D (discount rate 5%, 20 year benefit horizon) Criterion Total Investment MLA /State DPI Investment MLA Investment State DPI Investment Present value of benefits (m$)3,4192,9421,5921,350Present value of costs (m$)559482256226Net present value (m$)2,8612,4601,3351,124Benefit cost ratio6.16.16.26.0Internal rate of return (%)32.932.833.831.6 Tables 9.2, 9.3 and 9.4 provide the investment criteria for alternative time horizons (5, 10, 15, 20, and 25 years) after the year of last investment as per the standardised RDC process). The tables are for total investment, MLA/DPI investment combined, and for MLA investment alone. Table 9.2: Investment Criteria for Total Investment  Different Benefit Horizons (discount rate 5%) Criterion 0 years5 years10 years15 years20 years25 yearsPresent value of benefits (m$)1,4962,1712,6953,1033,4193,665Present value of costs (m$)559559559559559559Net present value (m$)9371,6122,1372,5442,8613,106Benefit cost ratio2.73.94.85.66.16.6Internal rate of return (%)31.332.632.832.932.932.9 Table 9.3: Investment Criteria for MLA/State Investment  Different Benefit Horizons (discount rate 5%) Criterion 0 years5 years10 years15 years20 years25 yearsPresent value of benefits (m$)1,2871,8682,3192,6702,9423,153Present value of costs (m$)482482482482482482Net present value (m$)8051,3861,8372,1882,4602,671Benefit cost ratio2.73.94.85.56.16.5Internal rate of return (%)31.132.432.732.832.832.8Table 9.4: Investment Criteria for MLA Investment  Different Benefit Horizons (discount rate 5%) Criterion 0 years5 years10 years15 years20 years25 yearsPresent value of benefits (m$)6961,0101,2551,4441,5921,706Present value of costs (m$)256256256256256256Net present value (m$)4407549981,1881,3351,450Benefit cost ratio2.73.94.95.66.26.6Internal rate of return (%)32.333.433.733.733.733.8 Cash flow of benefits The cash flow of undiscounted net benefits is shown in Figure 9.1 for the total investment. Figure 9.1: Benefit Cash Flow  Sensitivity Analyses Sensitivity analyses were carried out on a range of variables and results are reported in Tables 9.5 to 9.8. All sensitivity analyses were performed using a 5% discount rate (except for Table 9.5) and for the MLA/State investment only. Benefits were estimated over the life of the investment plus 20 years from the year of last investment. All other parameters were held at their base values. Table 9.5: Sensitivity of Investment Criteria to the Discount Rate (MLA/State Investment, 20 year benefit horizon) Criterion Discount rate 5%Low value 2.5%Base value 5%High value 10%Present value of benefits ($ m)3,2022,9422,817Present value of costs ($ m)391482755Net present value ($ m)2,8112,4602,061Benefit-cost ratio8.26.13.7 Table 9.6 shows the changes in investment criteria with different assumptions regarding the productivity gain with the RD&E investment. The productivity gain has to lift from 0.3% p.a. to only 0.6% per annum for the investment to have broken even at the 5% discount rate. Table 9.6: Sensitivity to Productivity Gain With the Investment (MLA/State investment, 5% discount rate; 20 year benefit horizon) Criterion 1.0% p.a.1.6% p.a.(Base)2.2% p.a.Present value of benefits (m$)1,5122,9424,372Present value of costs (m$)482482482Net present value (m$)1,0302,4603,890Benefit cost ratio3.16.19.1Internal rate of return (%)18.832.844.8 Table 9.7 shows the changes in investment criteria with different assumptions regarding the attribution of the observed productivity gain (1.6%) to the RD&E investment. The attribution could fall from 90% to 41% and the investment would still have broken even at the 5% discount rate. Table 9.7: Sensitivity to Attribution of Productivity Gain to RD&E (MLA/State investment, 5% discount rate; 20 year benefit horizon) Criterion 70%90% p.a. (Base)100%Present value of benefits (m$)1,9402,9423,443Present value of costs (m$)482482482Net present value (m$)1,4582,4602,961Benefit cost ratio4.06.17.1Internal rate of return (%)22.232.838.4 The proportion of the MLA/State investment that can be categorised as extension/adoption has not been estimated in the compilation of MLA/State expenditure. Assuming a 50/50 split in terms of investment, Table 9.8 shows the investment criteria with different assumptions regarding the impact of the adoption/extension investment in terms of its contribution to the productivity gain. Table 9.8: Sensitivity to Impact of Adoption /Extension Investment on Productivity Gain (MLA/State investment, 5% discount rate; 20 year benefit horizon) Criterion 25%50% p.a. (Base)75%Present value of benefits (m$)7351,4712,206Present value of costs (m$)241241241Net present value (m$)4941,2301,965Benefit cost ratio3.16.19.2Internal rate of return (%)18.632.844.4 10. Investment Analysis Case Studies The results of this top down approach to analysing the investment is supported by a series of investment analyses for specific investments. Summaries of these analyses are reported in Appendix 1. Most of the results reported are for total investment and the benefits from some multi-industry investments would apply to lamb producers as well as to wool, crop and beef producers. Hence the results summarised in Appendix 1 can not be compared directly with the top down approach by simply summing benefits or net present values. However, the benefit cost ratios reported would apply directly to lamb and they ranged from 2 to 1 up to 17 to 1. 11. Conclusions The analysis has demonstrated significant changes in the Australian lamb industry and has linked these changes to RD&E investment over the 18 year period from 1990/91 to 2007/08. MLA and the State DPIs have contributed the majority of the RD&E resources invested. This analysis should be viewed in conjunction with the demand side analysis of MLA and other investment in lamb marketing and promotion that is being carried out by the Centre for International Economics. There is no doubt that both demand and supply side investments have worked together to produce the observed outcome. Marketing without the supply of the appropriate product can be barren as can RD&E targeted at a product that is not required. The top down approach to valuing the benefits from the investment has been applied whereby the  with RD&E investment scenario is compared with the scenario of what would have happened if the specified RD&E investment had not taken place. Assumptions to shape the latter scenario are difficult and usually have to be subjectively made. Given the assumptions made, the investment has provided a high return to the industry and to Australian society. Consumers and intermediaries along the supply chain will have benefited as well as lamb producers. The investment criteria for the total investment made by MLA, the State DPIs, and others are quite positive, demonstrating that the investment has been successful in economic terms. The net present value for the MLA/State investment is estimated at $2.5 billion (5% discount rate, 2007/08 $ terms, discounted to 2007/08, 20 year benefit horizon). The benefit cost ratio is estimated at 6 to 1, and the internal rate of return is estimated at 33% per annum. Acknowledgements Richard Apps, Sheep Genetics Lewis Atkinson, Meat and Livestock Australia Rob Banks, Meat and Livestock Australia Mark Dolling, Department of Agriculture and Food, Western Australia Martin Dunstan, Department of Primary Industries, Victoria Neal Fogarty, Orange (formerly NSW Department of Primary Industries) Garry Griffith, Department of Primary Industries, NSW. Mathew Groth, Meat and Livestock Australia Sam Gill, Sheep Genetics Michael Goldberg, Meat and Livestock Australia Bruce Hancock, Department of Primary Industries and Resources, South Australia Bill O Halloran, Department of Primary Industries, NSW Matthew Harding, Centre for International Economics Skye Richmond, Meat and Livestock Australia Dererk Quirke, Centre for International Economics Peter Williams, Department of Primary Industries and Water, Tasmania References ABARE (2004a)  Australian Beef Industry , Australian Beef 04.2, Canberra ABARE (2004b)  Prime Lamb Industry: Production and Sale of Sheep and Lambs , Australian Lamb 04.3, Canberra. ABARE (2007)  Australian Commmodity Statistics , Canberra ABARE (2008)  Productivity Growth , Australian Commodities, Vol 15 No 1, March 2008 Alliance Consulting and Management (2002)  Review of the Lamb and Sheepmeat Value Based Marketing Program , Report to MLA, May 2002 Anon (undated)  The Pathway to Improvement of Lamb as a Product in Australia and Overseas . Anon (1995)  The Productivity of Specialist Wool Growing in Australia , Report to the IWS by Swan Consultants, Canberra Anon (2002)  The Australian Prime Lamb Group Compendium , Edition 3, 2002. Australian Venture Consultants (2006)  LAMBPLAN: Review of Adoption by the Australian Meat Sheep Breeding Industry , Report to MLA, MLA, Sydney. Australian Venture Consultants (2007)  Best Practice Reproduction Management: A Review of Current Extension and Adoption , Report to MLA, MLA, Sydney. Axiom Research (2007)  Meat and Livestock Australia: Awareness and Adoption, KPI Evaluation 2007 . Banks R (2003)  The Australian Prime Lamb Industry Development Program, 1985-2003 , Unpublished. Centre for International Economics (2001)  The CRC for Weed Management Systems: an Impact Assessment  , CRC for Weed Management Systems, Technical Series No 6, University of Adelaide. Centre for International Economics (1997)  Guidelines for Economic Evaluation of R&D , Report prepared for the Grains R&D Corporation and the Rural Industries R&D Corporation by the Centre for International Economics , Canberra. Clarke N, Gawthorne, J, Cradling R, Bell K, and Woolaston R (2006)  Independent Expert Review of the Australian Sheep Industry CRC Conducted during the Fifth Year of Operation , Sheep CRC, Armidale. Constable G A (2000)  The components of high yields in Australia , CSIRO Cotton Research Unit, mimeo paper CSIRO Entomology (2006)  The Biological Control of Paterson s Curse and Scotch Thistles: A long term investment by grazing industries, State and Federal governments ; Final Report of Project ECO10-D (March 2006) and Milestone Report No 6 (May 2006). Edwards G and Freebairn J (1981)  Measuring a Country s Gains From Research: Theory and Application to Rural Research in Australia , Report to the Commonwealth Council for Rural Research and Extension, Canberra, AGPS Fogarty N (2008) www.dpi.nsw.gov.ai/research/updates/issues/april-2008/?a=219474 Gaunt G and Banks R (1999)  Sire Progeny Tests Validate LAMBPLAN Breeding Values www.sheepgenetics.org.au/lambplan/archives/ctp_and_lambplan.htm Griffith G (2005)  Estimating the Economic Impact of a Major Beef Industry Research and Development Investment: the renewal of the CRC for Beef Genetic Technologies  , CRC, Armidale GRDC (1992)  Gains for Grain: Volume 3, Guidelines for Economic Evaluation , Occasional Paper Series no 3, Canberra. GRDC (1993)  Gains for Grain: Volume 3, Benefit  Cost Methods in Research Evaluation , P D Chudleigh and K A Bond (Eds), Proceedings of a workshop held in Canberra, Occasional Paper Series no 3, Canberra. Harris J and Rice C (2005)  Outcomes of MLA s Livestock Production Research and Development , MLA, Sydney. Hassall and Associates (2004)  Triple Bottom Line Evaluations: Volume 1: Review of Southern Beef and Lamb and Sheepmeat Programs , Report to MLA. Hassall and Associates (2008)  Evaluation of the BESTWOOL/BESTLAMB Project 2005-2008 Report to Victorian Department of Primary Industries. Howard K, Reed D, and Dunstan M (2007) Exploring the Impact of Three Decades of Government Intervention into the Victorian Lamb Industry , August 2007, DPI Victoria. Holmes Sackett and Associates (2003)  Australian Sheep Industry 2003: Economic and Situation Analysis . Report to MLA and AWI Holmes Sackett and Associates (2005)  Keys to Profitable Lamb Production  2005 and Beyond , Report to MLA. Hooper S (2007)  LPI Awareness and Adoption 2005-06: Meat and Livestock Australia: Management Practices Survey 2005-06 , ABARE, Canberra. Hooper S (2008) Australian Lamb 08.1, ABARE, Canberra Knopke P, O Donnell V and Shepherd A (2000)  Productivity Growth in the Australian Grains Industry , ABARE Research Report 2000.1, Canberra Knopke P, Strappazon L and Mullen J (1995)  Productivity Growth: Total Factor Productivity in Australian Broadacre Farms , December Quarter, Australian Commodities, ABARE Males W, Davidson H, Knopke P, Loncar T, and Roarty M, (1990)  Productivity Growth and Development in Australia s Primary Industries  , ABARE Discussion Paper, Canberra. Manson A and Black I (2004)  The Impact of Agricultural Research and Development on a State Economy: An Application of the Monash Multi-Regional Forecasting Model  , Contributed Paper at the 48th Annual Conference of the Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, Melbourne. McCausland I (2006)  Report Relating to Red Meat Research, Development and Extension MLA, Sydney. MLA (2007)  Calculating Cost of Production for Your Lamb Enterprise , Tips and Tools Mullen J (1996)  Returns to Agriculture from Public Research between 1953 and 1994 , Report for RIRDC, Canberra Mullen J (2007)  Productivity Growth and the Returns from Public Investment in R&D in Australian Agriculture Presidential Address to 51st Annual Conference of AARES, Queenstown, New Zealand. Mullen J D and Cox T L (1995)  The Returns from Research in Australian Broadacre Agriculture , Australian Journal of Agricultural Economics Vol 39, No 2. Pogson P (2005)  PIRDs Review and Recommendations , Report to MLA by The Leading Partnership. Sheepmeat Council of Australia (1998)  Strategically Positioning the Australian Sheepmeat Industry for the Year 2005 , prepared by Sheepmeat Council of Australia, December 1998. Taverner Research Company (2004)  Prograzier Reader Involvement Research: Quantitative Findings , Report to MLA, March 2004. Thatcher L (2002)  Key Performance Indicators for the Prime Lamb Industry (December 2001), Report to MLA. Vere D, Griffith G, Silvester L (2005)  Australian Sheep Industry CRC: Economic Evaluation of Scientific Research Programs , NSW DPI and Sheep CRC, Economic Report No 27, December 2005. Welsman S (2001)  PIRDS: MLA Producer Initiated Research and Development: Strategic Review , May 2001. Appendix 1: Supporting Economic Evaluation Case Studies Other investment analyses that support the top down analysis presented earlier are reported in this appendix. Most of these analyses were carried out recently by Agtrans Research under processes managed by MLA. Some of the analyses were used in the accountability process initiated by the Committee of Chairs of the RDCs. The results of these evaluations are provided in Table 10.1. Summaries are given in the following sub-sections 10.1 to 10.7. Table 10.1: Summary of Investment Analyses Pertaining to Lamb Production RD&E (5% discount rate, 2005/06 $ terms, discounted to 2005/06, 25 year benefit horizon) InvestmentPVBPVCNPVB/C Ratio1. MLA Prime Time Campaign13.742.2711.476.052. The Sustainable Grazing Systems Program 191.5653.10138.463.613. Grain & Graze Program 206.3131.57174.746.544. Delivery of Biological Control Agents for Broad-Leafed Weeds in Temperate Pasture1,000.6460.0940.6516.685. EverGraze Program90.0914.5175.596.216. EDGEnetwork? 59.214.744.54.07. Sustainable Grazing on Saline Land 59.6828.0231.672.13 10.1 MLA Prime Time Campaign The Prime Time campaign was an MLA initiative to increase awareness among sheep producers of the likely shortage, opportunities for increasing lamb and sheepmeat production, and practices that boosted flock productivity and profitability. MLA s partners in the campaign were the Sheepmeat Council of Australia, the Sheep Industry CRC, State agencies, and key event private sector partners (Landmark, Elders Limited and Roberts Limited). Tables 1 and 2 report the investment and the benefits emanating from the investment. Table 1: Resources Invested by Year for MLA and the Research Organisation for Total Prime Time Campaign (nominal $) YearMLA funds (a)Other financial support (b)State Agencies (in kind) (c)Total2003/04772,76050,00070,000892,7602004/05555,11550,00070,000675,1152005/06334,50000334,500Total1,662,375100,000140,0001,902,375Source was MLA Estimate for Elders, Landmark, AWI and Australian Sheep CRC Estimate for State Agencies contribution in kind through speakers at forums across Australia. Table 2: Summary of the Economic, Environmental and Social Benefits from the Investment EconomicSocialHigher productivity per hectare for the group of lamb producers changing management practices as a result of the campaign, leading to higher profitability and lowered cost of production Individual capacity building in that many producers now have increased confidence to change management practices More lamb producers meeting market specificationsIndustry capacity building in that networks of producers and private sector agencies have been developed and strengthened Partial benefits from increased use of other lamb and sheepmeat services provided by MLA Potential market and trade benefits from maintaining lamb and sheepmeat supply  Investment criteria were estimated for both total investment and for the MLA investment alone. Each set of investment criteria were estimated for different periods of benefits. The investment criteria are reported in Table 3. Table 3: Investment Criteria for Total Investment and Total Benefits (discount rate 5%) Criterion 0 years5 years10 years15 years20 years25 yearsPresent value of benefits (m$)-0.662.796.599.5811.9113.74Present value of costs (m$)2.272.272.272.272.272.27Net present value (m$)-2.940.524.327.309.6411.47Benefit cost ratio-0.291.232.904.215.246.05Internal rate of return (%)negative9.422.825.225.926.0 The cash flow of benefits is shown in Figure 1 for both the total investment and for the MLA investment in the six projects. Figure 1: Benefit Cash Flow  10.2 The Sustainable Grazing Systems Program While SGS was an MLA initiative, the program had several partners including Land and Water Australia (LWA), Murray Darling Basin Commission (MDBC), State agencies and several universities. Large numbers of producers also contributed to the program. The total investment costs in the project are shown in Table 1. Table 1: Resources Invested by Year for MLA, the Researchers and Funding Partners in SGS (nominal $) YearMLALWAOthers (a)Total1996/972,000,000540,0003,300,0005,840,0001997/982,000,000250,0003,300,0005,550,0001998/992,000,000250,0003,300,0005,550,0001999/002,000,000250,0003,300,0005,550,0002000/012,000,000 250,0003,300,0005,550,0002001/02125,000125,000Total10,000,0001,665,00016,500,00028,165,000(a) Estimate includes MDBC, NSW Agriculture, DNRE (Vic), Dept Ag (WA), DLWC (NSW), the International Wool Secretariat, and the Universities of Melbourne and New England, plus producers contributions in kind. Source: LWA; Cameron Allan, pers comm., 2003; Mason et al (2003). A summary of the benefits derived from the investment is presented in Table 2. Table 2: Summary of the Economic, Environmental and Social Benefits from the Investment EconomicEnvironmentalSocialIncreased productivity of pasturesIncreased water utilisation by pastures from rotational grazing and from wider use of perennial species Increased capacity building in producer regions through the networking and improved capacity of individuals to seek change and learnHigher stocking rates and increased productivity of animals Reduced water accessions to groundwater resulting in potentially less waterlogging and less chance of salinity outbreak on the propertyIncreased capacity of researchers to integrate with livestock producers Profitability gains for producers Reduced likelihood of soil erosion and export of contaminants Gains in efficiencies and effectiveness among consultants and agency personnelContribution to biodiversity improvementImproved management of climatic variabilityImproved biosecurity by improved control of weeds  Table 3 shows the results for investment from all sources including the MLA funding for SGS. Table 3: Investment Criteria for Total Investment and Total Benefits for SGS (discount rate 5%) Criterion 0 years5 years10 years15 years20 years25 yearsPresent value of benefits (m$)40.3486.79123.19151.71174.05191.56Present value of costs (m$)53.1053.1053.1053.1053.1053.10Net present value (m$)-12.7633.6970.0998.61120.95138.46Benefit cost ratio0.761.632.322.863.283.61Internal rate of return (%)negative19.9024.1025.1225.4025.49 The cash flow of benefits is shown in Figure 1 for both the total investment and for the MLA investment. Figure 1: Benefit Cash Flow  Not only has profitability of some producers been improved, there has been an increased awareness of environmental issues as well as long-term benefits to the environment. Capacity of producers and support service personnel has also been enhanced. The sustainability benefits from this investment have not been explicitly valued in the analysis. This was due to the difficulty in linking the grazing system management changes made to the significance in changes in groundwater accessions and then further links to waterlogging and salinity outcomes. No doubt there will be some impacts in the long term. The management changes are likely to be ameliorative or preventative in nature. The profitability benefits capture to some extent the sustainability benefits since the producer benefits are assumed to continue for a period of years, an assumption supported by the likely water management impacts. 10.3 Grain & Graze Meat & Livestock Australia (MLA) is one of four partners in a research program called Grain & Graze (G&G). The program is a cooperative effort of four Rural Research & Development Corporations (RDCs)  Australian Wool Innovation Ltd (AWI), the Grains R&D Corporation (GRDC), Land & Water Australia (LWA) and MLA. MLA is the largest financial contributor of the four RDCs. The program s investment is largely delivered through nine regionally focused projects, which in themselves use collaborative approaches with many partners involved including State agencies. Table 1 presents the annual resources invested by MLA and its partners in the entire G&G program. Table 1: Resources Invested by MLA, Partners and Researchers (nominal dollar terms) YearMLAAWIGRDCLWAInterestOther1Total2003/041,200,0000406,000278,0004,6851,961,0563,849,7412004/051,200,000750,000517,000300,00056,7502,931,9525,755,7022005/061,300,000750,000813,000400,00003,388,0336,651,0332006/071,300,000750,000496,000500,00003,162,7186,208,7182007/081,300,000750,000553,000822,00003,556,2416,981,241Total6,300,0003,000,0002,785,0002,300,00061,43515,000,00029,446,4351 Mostly in-kind funding provided by 12 farming groups, seven CMAs and 16 research and extension providers including State Agencies. Table 2 presents a summary of the expected benefits from the investment in the G&G program in a triple bottom line format. Table 2: Summary of the Economic, Environmental and Social Benefits from the Investment EconomicEnvironmentalSocialIncrease in average farm incomePotentially improved natural resource condition on-farmIncreased capacity to act on a whole-farm basisReduced variability in average farm incomePotentially improved regional biodiversity and water quality Institutional capacity building in terms of networks and relationships Improved biosecurity by improved control of weeds Table 3 shows the results for investment from all sources including the MLA funding for G&G. Table 3: Investment Criteria for Total Investment and Total Benefits for G&G (discount rate 5%) Criterion 0 years5 years10 years15 years20 years25 yearsPresent value of benefits (m$)10.2945.52100.58144.68179.24206.31Present value of costs (m$)31.5731.5731.5731.5731.5731.57Net present value (m$)-21.2813.9669.01113.11147.67174.74Benefit cost ratio0.331.443.194.585.686.54Internal rate of return (%)negative14.0824.9726.9027.3827.52 The cash flow of benefits is shown in Figure 1 for both the total investment and for the MLA investment. Figure 1: Benefit Cash Flow  SHAPE \* MERGEFORMAT  Based on the assumptions made, at a 5% discount rate the total investment in Grain & Graze will provide a net present value of $174.7 million, a benefit cost ratio of 6.5 to 1, and an internal rate of return of over 27%. The investment criteria reported here are probably underestimates as environmental benefits potentially exist but have not been valued. 10.4 Delivery of Biological Control Agents for Broad-Leafed Weeds in Temperate Pasture Organisations involved in this investment were MLA, AWI, CSIRO (Division of Entomology), NSW Department; of Agriculture, Victorian Department of Primary Industries, South Australian Research and Development Institute (SARDI), and the Western Australian Department of Agriculture. The total investment costs in the project from 2001/02 are shown in Table 1. Table 1: Resources Invested by Year for MLA, the Researchers and Funding Partners for Project WEED.400A (nominal $) YearMLAAWIOthersTotalExtension of TR.047(a)2001/0291,650228,350153,967473,9672002/0368,979251,021961,8231,281,823WEED.400A (b)2003/04180,000272,000844,602 1,296,6022004/05180,000286,000844,602 1,310,6022005/06 145,67116,250844,602 1,006,523Total666,3001,053,6213,649,596 5,369,517Source of MLA contribution for extension to TR.047 was Cameron Allan, pers comm., July 2006. Source of AWI contribution for extension to TR.047 was by subtraction with $320,000 assumed for the combined AWI and MLA contribution as discussed with Cameron Allan. Source for others was project proposal. Source of figures for WEED.400A was the original contract; Total for others included CSIRO ($833,346), NSW Ag ($635,615), DSE ($546,118), SARDI ($200,213) and WA Dept Ag ($318,513) A summary of the benefits from improved control of Paterson s curse and Onopordum thistles in economic, environmental and social categories is presented in Table 2. Table 2: Summary of the Economic, Environmental and Social Benefits and Costs from the Investment EconomicEnvironmentalSocialReduced cost of weeds to producers in southern Australia from higher pasture productivity and ensuing increased stocking rates Reduced chemical use for control may benefit the environment Reduced incidence of skin irritations and allergies from Paterson s curse and a reduced social nuisance value of thistle infestation Reduction in control costs (including chemicals) of dense infestations for landholders, landcare goups and local councils More stable land cover resulting in reduced erosion Increased capacity of landholders to work togetherReduction in losses of pigs and horses from poisoning from Paterson s curseImproved biosecurity by improved control of weedsImproved capacity of rural groups and institutions, including researchers, to work cooperatively Reduced downgrading of wool due to vegetable matter contamination from thistles Cost to apiarists from reduced utilisation of Paterson s curse Table 3 shows the results for investment from all sources including the MLA funding for the investment. Table 3: Investment Criteria for Total Investment and Total Benefits for Weed Investment (discount rate 5%) Criterion 0 years5 years10 years15 years20 years25 yearsPresent value of benefits (m$)15.46191.84445.36673.24855.651,000.64Present value of costs (m$)60.060.060.060.060.060.0Net present value (m$)-44.53131.85385.37613.25795.66940.65Benefit cost ratio0.263.207.4211.2214.2616.68Internal rate of return (%)negative10.713.514.414.815.0 The cash flow of benefits is shown in Figure 1 for both the total investment and for the MLA investment. Figure 1: Benefit Cash Flow  The investment by MLA and others in biological control of selected temperate weeds is now commencing to pay off. Paterson s curse and Onopordum thistles are being reported by producers as being increasingly controlled by the biological agents released. While the total investment has been large and has persisted over a long period, the payoffs too are likely to be very significant. The resulting investment criteria are expected to be underestimates as benefits from the control of Onopordum thistles and other species addressed by the program have not been considered in the benefit-cost analysis. 10.5 Evergraze The total investment costs for the program are shown in Table 1. Table 1: Resources Invested by Year for MLA, the Researchers and Funding Partners for Projects HRZ.100, HRZ.201 and HRZ.200 (nominal $) YearMLA fundsCRC (Cash)CRC (In-kind) (a)Catchment Management Authorities (Cash) (b)Total2003/04190,0000190,0000380,0002004/051,163,392 300,0001,780,01195,0003,338,4032005/06613,458 300,0002,213,772155,0003,282,2302006/07710,592 300,0002,280,185100,0003,390,7772007/08724,984 300,0002,348,59003,373,574Total3,402,4261,200,0008,812,558350,00013,764,984Source: CRC for Plant-based Management of Dryland Salinity; CRC contribution for 2003/04 (HRZ.100) assumed equal to MLA contribution CSIRO, Adelaide University, University of Western Australia, DAFWA, DPI Victoria, Charles Sturt University and NSW DPI For example, in south-west Victoria, organisations involved are the Corangamite and Glenelg Hopkins Catchment Management Authorities. In Western Australia there is support from the South Coast Regional Initiative Planning Team and the Albany East Hinterland Group. In NSW, other groups include the Murrumbidgee Catchment Management Authority. A summary of the benefits produced is provided in Table 2. Table 2: Summary of the Economic, Environmental and Social Benefits from the Investment EconomicEnvironmentalSocialIncrease in net farm profit per ha for farms in the three catchments Reduced recharge to groundwater and reduced salinity and other contaminants (e.g. nutrients, sediments) in catchment waterways Potential animal welfare benefits from strategies that emerge regarding interaction of lamb survival with vegetation (e.g. break of slope shrub plantings) Increase in net farm profit for farms in other high rainfall zone catchmentsImproved terrestrial and aquatic biodiversityImproved capacity of rural based institutions to work cooperatively Reduced economic impact of salinity and other contaminants in waterways Improved management of climatic variability The investment criteria for the total investment are reported in Table 3. Table 3: Investment Criteria for Total Investment and Total Benefits (discount rate 5%) Criterion 0 years5 years10 years15 years20 years25 yearsPresent value of benefits (m$)06.8828.6355.3576.2890.09Present value of costs (m$)14.5114.5114.5114.5114.5114.51Net present value (m$)-14.51-7.6314.1240.8461.7875.59Benefit cost ratio00.471.973.815.256.21Internal rate of return (%)negativenegative13.518.619.920.3 The cash flow of benefits is shown in Figure 1 for both the total investment and for the MLA investment. Figure 1: Benefit Cash Flow  The EverGraze project is somewhat unique in that the experimental phase was preceded by a significant effort into catchment identification, system design, and modelling. The experimental work aimed at validating and demonstration is only just underway so there has been little evidence of any benefits captured to date. 10.6 EDGEnetwork? The development of the EDGEnetwork? program has involved over 300 MLA projects, with 47 projects funded in the six years to June 30 2006. MLA developed contracts in each state with providers to deliver EDGEnetwork? where the provider takes responsibility for all EDGEnetwork? activities and reporting in that state, and in most cases, these licensees have been exclusively delivering EDGEnetwork? workshops in each state. The total investment costs in EDGEnetwork? from 1998/99 to 2005/06 are shown in Table 1. Table 1: Resources Invested by Year for MLA in EDGEnetwork? Projects (nominal $) YearActual Net Expenditure (a)47 projects from MLA spreadsheet (c)1998/991,222,273NA (b)1999/002,532,682NA (b)2000/011,929,228565,530 (a)2001/02874,000505,1402002/03946,000465,2792003/041,116,000797,9492004/05896,000670,778Projected: 2005/061,000,000711,868TOTAL10,516,1833,716,544(a) Includes all costs: R&D and LPI operating costs net of income In the development of EDGEnetwork? workshops, there has been a number of partners, particularly state DPIs. In the development of some workshops, State DPIs have made significant in-kind contributions. Table 2 provides a summary of the benefits from the EDGEnetwork? investment. Table 2 Summary of the Economic, Environmental and Social Benefits from the Investment in EDGEnetwork? EconomicEnvironmentalSocialEnhanced productivity of meat and livestock production through improved management decision making Sustainable management of biodiversity, weeds, water and soil health, and overcoming soil erosion and salinity, Increased personal capacity to manage and cope so reducing stress and improving quality of life Increased net farm income of producers Enhanced effectiveness of participation in regional and industry affairs Increase in knowledge, skills and confidence to change and adapt to industry and personal needs. Table 3 shows the results of the investment analysis using a 5% discount rate. Table 3: Investment Criteria by Type of Benefit and Costs Included (5% discount rate) Criterion All Net Benefits and All Investment in EDGE Present value of benefits ($m)59.2Present value of costs ($m)14.7Net present value ($m)44.5Benefit-cost ratio4.0 to 1Internal rate of return (%)12.4 The total investment in EDGEnetwork? from 1997/98 to 2005/06 is estimated to produce a Net Present Value of $44 million and a benefit to cost ratio of 4.0 to 1. 10.7 Sustainable Grazing on Saline Land Total investment in the program is provided in Table 1. Table 1: Total Resources Invested in the SGSL Subprogram YearTotal LWW (AWI only)MLAResearchersTotal Resources2001/02382,357300,00039,865722,2222002/031,857,890300,0001,862,5664,020,4562003/042,172,024300,0002,638,1855,110,2092004/051,547,209300,0002,969,0724,816,2812005/062,052,900300,0003,251,9435,604,8432006/071,906,48701,220,3663,126,8532007/08420,8580774,3881,195,2462008/0900525,207525,2072009/1000350,538350,538Total10,339,7251,500,00013,632,13025,471,855 A summary of the benefits emanating from the investment is provided in Table 2. Table 2: Summary of the Economic, Environmental and Social Benefits from the Investment EconomicEnvironmentalSocialIncreased adoption of saltland pastures Lower cost of establishment Less risk in establishment Productivity increases Higher DSE per ha with improved saltland pastures Higher gross margins on whole farm basis Water quality impact on livestock performance Positive biodiversity impact on pests and diseases Reduced spread of salinity and protection of associated remnant vegetation Reduced soil erosion and salt export Improved water quality in waterways Revegetation of otherwise very low value habitat Improved biodiversity of flora and associated fauna in some regions Rehabilitation of degraded land Renewed pride and satisfaction Enhanced amenity value for both woolgrowers and the remainder of the community Increased individual and community capacity to manage saline land  The resulting investment criteria are presented in Table 3 Table 3: Investment Criteria by Type of Benefit and Costs Included (discount rate 6%) All Benefits and All CostsPresent value of benefits ($m)59.68Present value of costs ($m)28.02Net present value ($m)31.67Benefit-cost ratio2.13 to 1Internal rate of return (%)11.8 Based on a conservative estimates of the profitability gains likely and the area that may be planted to saltland pastures over the next ten years, the investment in SGSL is considered to have been profitable with the $11.49m present value of investment by LWW providing benefits of $24.6 m. The investment is thus estimated to provide a benefit-cost ratio of 2.1 to 1 and an internal rate of return of about 12%. These estimates are considered conservative since likely water quality and biodiversity improvements have not been valued due to a lack of data supporting these linkages. Further the private benefits of pride and visual amenity improvements have not been quantified due to difficulties in making credible valuations. Appendix 2: Example of an Outcome from an MLA PIRD Project Group - Streaky Bay Sheep Group Title  Improving Returns From Sheep Aim - To improve sheep profits and establish sheep as a part of the members farming systems. Contact  Brian Ashton  PIRSA 8688 3403  Ashton.Brian@saugov.sa.gov.au This group of producers run their sheep as an adjunct to their cropping program and before the PIRD started the sheep were receiving suboptimal attention on many farms. This PIRD had members doing much more recording and this alone has given producers a much better understanding of their sheep enterprise and what will make it run more efficiently. With the group s average ewe numbers at 1000, their lamb marking percentage has risen almost 10% to 90%, despite recent seasons being well below average rainfall. Blood tests were taken from poor ewes in late winter and showed many were protein deficient. This has meant many members now draft off their lighter ewes and give them lupin supplements Their understanding of mineral levels in their soils and subsequently how that effects their sheep production has increased though their PIRD trials. These producers have seen 2 important economic returns from their trials 10% increase in lamb turnoff from their flock average of 1,000 ewes means 90 more lambs sold. At a conservative average sale price of $60 each producer has over $4,500 gross return. The cost of this extra productivity has been limited to an extra muster for the 2nd Vit B12 shot and the cost of their cobalt bullet. This totals only $1,950 - leaving a net return $2,550. On average their lambs are now 5kg l/wt heavier at weaning so with a conservative price of $1.50kg l/wt this equals an extra $7.50 per head. So with 900 lambs produced this gives another $6,750 return. The direct costs have been attributed above. So this extra learning and attention to their sheep mineral status, plus the renewed focus on their sheep as valuable part of the overall income and cropping management, has netted an average $9,300 per property in additional income. Their trials and measuring have shown improved profit options and have seen members put more focus on their sheep operations and helped them integrate their cropping and sheep programs. During their PIRD the group ran several field days with attendances up to 100 producers and 3 EDGEnetwork? workshops including Wean More Lambs, Effective Breeding (in partnership with a local stud breeder), and Making Money Merinos - in partnership with another producer. Appendix 3: Glossary of Economic Terms Benefit-cost analysis (BCA) - A conceptual framework for the economic evaluation of projects and programs in the public sector. It differs from a financial appraisal or evaluation in that it considers all gains (benefits) and losses (costs), regardless of to whom they accrue. Benefit-cost ratio (B/C Ratio) - The ratio of the present value of investment benefits to the present value of investment costs. Discounting - The process of relating the costs and benefits of an investment to a base year using a stated discount rate. Ex-post or historical analysis - Occurs after the research investment has been completed. It analyses the investment after completion with respect to benefit and cost outcomes attributable to the investment. Internal Rate of Return (IRR) - The discount rate at which an investment has a net present value of zero, i.e. where present value of benefits = present value of costs. Investment criteria - Measures of the economic worth of an investment such as Net Present Value, Benefit-Cost Ratio, and Internal Rate of Return. Net Present Value (NPV) - The discounted value of the benefits of an investment less the discounted value of the costs, i.e. present value of benefits - present value of costs. Present Value of Benefits (PVB) - The discounted value of benefits. Present Value of Costs (PVC) - The discounted value of costs.     Page  PAGE 2 of  NUMPAGES 74   Page  PAGE 74 of  NUMPAGES 74 partner logo Project code:B.COM.1001Prepared by:Peter ChudleighAgtrans ResearchDate published: 30 June 2008 ISBN:[MLA to provide] PUBLISHED BY Meat & Livestock Australia Limited Locked Bag 991 NORTH SYDNEY NSW 2059 Economic Evaluation of Lamb Production RD&E Investment for 1990/91-2007/08: Final Report Published by In submitting this report, you agree that Meat & Livestock Australia Limited may publish the report in whole or in part as it considers appropriate. -$5.00 $0.00 $5.00 $10.00 $15.00 $20.00 $25.00 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Year $ Value above 1990 BL per lamb Coop per lamb Merino per lamb TS per lamb Average value per lamb Overall Impact ~ 70% 0 5000000 10000000 15000000 20000000 -5 -3 -1 1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 Year Annual Benefit ($) Total MLA This publication is published by Meat & Livestock Australia Limited ABN 39 081 678 364 (MLA). Care is taken to ensure the accuracy of information in the publication. Reproduction in whole or in part of this publication is prohibited without the prior written consent of MLA. finalreport partner logo   02:<>@nprt???????         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& Fgd(r?gdfx & F,gd笴lgd5czkdH#$$IfT杔??d鲠齃}k ?????????4?4? la?婿奣 (?D?F?P?Z?h?p?z?倗巼攪爣獓磭紘茋覈???????????????? $$Ifa$gd4;gdfx$a$gd??覈試?kd?$$IfT杔?执??y hXG7&"'?????????????????4?4? la?奣試鋰顕鷩???*?6????????? $$Ifa$gd4; $Ifgd4;6?8??kd%$$IfT杔?执??y hXG7&"'?????????????????4?4? la?奣8?H?R?^?j?v?倛巿殘???????? $$Ifa$gd4; $Ifgd4;殘湀?kd/&$$IfT杔?执??y hXG7&"'?????????????????4?4? la?奣湀瑘秷聢螆趫鎴驁???????? $$Ifa$gd4; $Ifgd4;??kdN'$$IfT杔?执??y hXG7&"'?????????????????4?4? la?奣???&?2?>?J?V?b????????? $$Ifa$gd4; $Ifgd4;b?d??kdm($$IfT杔?执??y hXG7&"'?????????????????4?4? la?奣d?t?~?妷枆畨簤茐???????? $$Ifa$gd騳~ $$Ifa$gd4; $Ifgd4;茐葔?kd?$$IfT杔?执??y hXG7&"'?????????????????4?4? la?奣葔貕鈮顗鷫???*????????? $$Ifa$gd騳~ $$Ifa$gd4; $Ifgd4;*?,??kd?$$IfT杔?执??y hXG7&"'?????????????????4?4? la?奣,??J?V????????? $$Ifa$gd騳~ $$Ifa$gd巀? $Ifgd巀?V?X??kd.$$IfT杔?执??y hXG7&"'?????????????????4?4? la?奣X?h?r?~?妺枊畫簨???????? $$Ifa$gd騳~ $$Ifa$gd巀? $Ifgd巀?簨紜?kd'/$$IfT杔?执??y hXG7&"'?????????????????4?4? la?奣紜虌謰鈰顙鷭??????????? $$Ifa$gd騳~ $$Ifa$gd巀? $Ifgd巀?? ??kdF0$$IfT杔?执??y hXG7&"'?????????????????4?4? la?奣 ?0?:?F?R?^?j?v?倢???????? $$Ifa$gd騳~ $$Ifa$gd4; $Ifgd4;倢剬?kde1$$IfT杔?执??y hXG7&"'?????????????????4?4? la?奣剬攲瀸獙秾聦螌趯鎸???????? $$Ifa$gd騳~ $$Ifa$gd4; $Ifgd4;鎸鑼?kd?$$IfT杔?执??y hXG7&"'?????????????????4?4? la?奣鑼鴮???&?2?>?J????????? $$Ifa$gd騳~ $$Ifa$gd4; $Ifgd4;J?L??kd?$$IfT杔?执??y hXG7&"'?????????????????4?4? la?奣L?\?f?r?~?妽枍畭???????? $$Ifa$gd騳~ $$Ifa$gd4; $Ifgd4;畭皪?kd?$$IfT杔?执??y hXG7&"'?????????????????4?4? la?奣皪缻蕧謲鈲顛鷯?????????? $$Ifa$gd騳~ $$Ifa$gd巀? $Ifgd巀????kd?$$IfT杔?执??y hXG7&"'?????????????????4?4? la?奣?$?.?:?F?R?^?j?v????????? $$Ifa$gd騳~ $$Ifa$gd巀? $Ifgd巀?v?x??kd7$$IfT杔?执??y hXG7&"'?????????????????4?4? la?奣x?垘拵瀻獛稁聨螏趲???????? $$Ifa$gd騳~ $$Ifa$gd巀? $Ifgd巀?趲軒?kd8$$IfT杔?执??y hXG7&"'?????????????????4?4? la?奣軒鑾鰩???*?6?F????????? $$Ifa$gd4; $Ifgd4;F?H??kd>9$$IfT杔?执??y hXG7&"'?????????????????4?4? la?奣H?\?^?軔趹~?蕮`?b?|?>?顤瑮畻皸軛湜灈疄盀礊鸀逘??????????????????????$a$gd5c & Fgd5cgdt]?  & F刏^刏gdt]? & F-gd?0gdfxgdOV逘 ?Z?灐?x?垻姠將盛挞L?J?n?T?$?ōJ?L?诋Z?\?X?Z????????????????????????$a$gd.vs $ & F a$gdd]l$a$gdd]lgd.vs$a$gd}qy $ & Fa$gd??Z?拇?诟z?尯\???x?犊缚??*?嫫杵4?涮嫣2?\?????????????????????????$a$gd}qygdbx? $ & F a$gdd]l$a$gdd]lgd.vs\?^?ρ>?@?愔捴浦 ?众刳(?h?j?犪4?6?㈡ゆ替岉庬 ???????????????????????????$a$gd蒃?gdew$a$gdewgd込?$a$gdd]lgd c??X??蝰掘莉隍??X?饮喳昌待??jl?,2Z???????????????????????????gd込?$a$gd縏? $ ?(a$gdew $ & Fa$gdew$a$gdew??????88?????P??!???&,???????????????????????$a$gdf=$$a$gd?Z$a$gdew$a$gd?$a$gdb0?gd込?$a$gd鐯<&,(,h,V1X1Z1???`7b7?????D=菮瓺癉﨟??????????????????????$a$gd靜A$a$gd?\gdvb?$a$gd?3$a$gd5cgdo]^$a$gdyI&gd蝲\$a$gd?Z﨟IIHLJL&N碞BO鳲鶲睸碨芐鎅鑉ZL_N_TaVa燽Vc謈xd歞€e?????????????????????????$a$gd?\ $ & Fa$gd2?$a$gd2?$a$gd5c€e俥hPh瀐阧FiHiTipinnnZn宱巓p p8pHp??????????????????? $$Ifa$gdb$a$gdQQq$a$gd* g & Fgdy6gd?$a$gd鐯<$a$gd镽$a$gd5c $ & Fa$gd?\$a$gd?\HpZp\p瀙?ja $Ifgdb?kd]:$$If杔?諪?6`'? *?????????4?4? la? $$Ifa$gdb瀙爌餻LrDs???? $Ifgdcvd $Ifgdbckd;$$If杔???`'??????????4?4? la?DsFs坰$u,wvmdd $Ifgdcvd $Ifgdb?kd?$$If杔?諪?6`'? *?????????4?4? la?,w.wxwny苲葄vmddd $Ifgdcvd $Ifgdb?kdb<$$If杔?諪?6`'? *?????????4?4? la?葄蕑{ }}vmddd $Ifgdcvd $Ifgdb?kd=$$If杔?諪?6`'? *?????????4?4? la?}}f}vm $Ifgdb?kd?$$If杔?諪?6`'? *?????????4?4? la?f}h}倉6€8€<€迋鈧剝唭x?z?袉???????????? $Ifgdcvd $IfgdAr?ckd?$$If杔???`'??????????4?4? la? 袉覇?茋?vmdd $Ifgdcvd $IfgdAr??kd"?$$If杔?諪?6`'? *?????????4?4? la????~?$?6????? $Ifgdcvd $IfgdAr?ckd侤$$If杔???`'??????????4?4? la?6?8?n?l?n???茪葰€?倹垱vmddddddddd $Ifgdcvd $IfgdAr??kdA$$If杔?諪?6`'? *?????????4?4? la? 垱L?N?錈鏌聽臓啊病ⅱあ妞瑜???????????m?kd藺$$If杔?諪?6`'? *?????????4?4? la? $Ifgdcvd 瑜???.?0?飒v?v??埉@?B?獐浏舭霭薇啾也圆???????????????????? $Ifgdcvd $IfgdAr?圆植虿L?N?? ?"?vmdddddd $Ifgdcvd $IfgdAr??kd嘊$$If杔?諪?6`'? *?????????4?4? la?"?$?d?澜陆婵杩\?^?j?vmddddddd $Ifgdcvd $IfgdAr??kdBC$$If杔?諪?6`'? *?????????4?4? la? j?l?惸捘淠屡~?€???f]TTT $Ifgdcvd $IfgdAr??kd鼵$$If杔?諪?6`'? *?????????4?4? la? ???j $Ifgdcvd€?偲`??vmdd $Ifgdcvd $IfgdAr??kd窪$$If杔?諪?6`'? *?????????4?4? la???P?vm $Ifgdb?kdsE$$If杔?諪?6`'? *?????????4?4? la?P?R?X?鍪@?愃?刺>?@?斚栂???qqqq???? & F ?h刪剺?$If^刪`剺dcvd $Ifgdcvd $Ifgdbckd.F$$If杔???`'??????????4?4? la? 栂t?v?? ?埔h?j????_?V? $Ifgdcvd?kd紽$$If杔4?諪?6`'? `*?????????4?4? la? $Ifgd-g? $$Ifa$gdU*?j?l?Z?\?b?d?th_VVVM $Ifgd-g? $Ifgdcvd $Ifgd卍C $$Ifa$gd卍C?kd€G$$If杔4?諪?6`'?  *?????????4?4? la?d?f?ㄔri $Ifgdcvd?kdCH$$If杔4??諪?6`'?  *?????????4?4? la?ㄔ茉?>?n?愔仓拗?刈溹???qqqqqq??? & F ?h刪剺?$If^刪`剺dcvd $Ifgdcvd $Ifgd8?@?掻???????????????????????????? $Ifgdcvd掻旣??X?Z?NPRl~€????????m?????kd蜬$$If杔?諪?6`'? *?????????4?4? la? $Ifgdcvd ????BD???vmmmmmmm $Ifgdcvd?kd塋$$If杔?諪?6`'? *?????????4?4? la????, ^ ?`vmmTT: & F ???勑剺?$If^勑`剺d鱄? & F ?h刪剺?$If^刪`剺dcvd $Ifgdcvd?kdDM$$If杔?諪?6`'? *?????????4?4? la?`?????????j*???????????????????? & F ?8?剺?$If^?`剺dcvd $Ifgdcvd $Ifgd-^ & F ???勑剺?$If^勑`剺d鱄????!vmd $Ifgdcvd $Ifgdb?kdM$$If杔?諪?6`'? *?????????4?4? la?!!!!?€ckd_O$$If杔???`'??????????4?4? la? $Ifgdbvkd篘$$If杔???`'?J?????????4?4? la?!8!?## #"#&#n#???d_WWO & FgdIXX$a$gd* ggd???kd頞$$If杔?諪?6`'? *?????????4?4? la? $Ifgdcvd $Ifgdbn#???*%D%~%???6&2(4(??? )0)<)?????????????????? $$Ifa$gd?O$a$gdCO?$a$gdIXX & Fgd??$a$gd* g $ & Fa$gdcy?$a$gdcy? & FgdIXX<)>)p)??K?33 $$Ifa$gd?O $$Ifa$gd?O?kd㏄$$If杔?諪T !??? ? t????6?????4?4? la??p?yt?O?????K?33 $$Ifa$gd?O $$Ifa$gd?O?kd筈$$If杔?諪T !??? ? t????6?????4?4? la??p?yt?O?????K?33 $$Ifa$gd?O $$Ifa$gd?O?kd蒖$$If杔?諪T !??? ? t????6?????4?4? la??p?yt?O???**K?33 $$Ifa$gd?O $$Ifa$gd?O?kd逽$$If杔?諪T !??? ? t????6?????4?4? la??p?yt?O** *0*>*K?33 $$Ifa$gd?O $$Ifa$gd?O?kd鮐$$If杔?諪T !??? ? t????6?????4?4? la??p?yt?O>*@*J*Z*h*K?33 $$Ifa$gd?O $$Ifa$gd?O?kd V$$If杔?諪T !??? ? t????6?????4?4? la??p?yt?Oh*j*t*??K?33 $$Ifa$gd?O $$Ifa$gd?O?kd!W$$If杔?諪T !??? ? t????6?????4?4? la??p?yt?O?????K?33 $$Ifa$gd?O $$Ifa$gd?O?kd7X$$If杔?諪T !??? ? t????6?????4?4? la??p?yt?O?????K?33 $$Ifa$gd?O $$Ifa$gd?O?kdMY$$If杔?諪T !??? ? t????6?????4?4? la??p?yt?O???++K?33 $$Ifa$gd?O $$Ifa$gd?O?kdcZ$$If杔?諪T !??? ? t????6?????4?4? la??p?yt?O+++,+:+K?33 $$Ifa$gd?O $$Ifa$gd?O?kdy[$$If杔?諪T !??? ? t????6?????4?4? la??p?yt?O:+<+F+V+d+K?33 $$Ifa$gd?O $$Ifa$gd?O?kd廫$$If杔?諪T !??? ? t????6?????4?4? la??p?yt?Od+f+p+€+?K?33 $$Ifa$gd?O $$Ifa$gd?O?kd$$If杔?諪T !??? ? t????6?????4?4? la??p?yt?O?????K?33 $$Ifa$gd?O $$Ifa$gd?O?kd籢$$If杔?諪T !??? ? t????6?????4?4? la??p?yt?O?????K?33 $$Ifa$gd?O $$Ifa$gd?O?kd裚$$If杔?諪T !??? ? t????6?????4?4? la??p?yt?O???? ,K?33 $$Ifa$gd?O $$Ifa$gd?O?kd鏯$$If杔?諪T !??? ? t????6?????4?4? la??p?yt?O , ,,$,2,K?33 $$Ifa$gd?O $$Ifa$gd?O?kd齛$$If杔?諪T !??? ? t????6?????4?4? la??p?yt?O2,4,>,L,Z,K?33 $$Ifa$gd?O $$Ifa$gd?O?kdc$$If杔?諪T !??? ? t????6?????4?4? la??p?yt?OZ,\,?? -$-KC;;C$a$gd2%$a$gd* g?kd)d$$If杔?諪T !??? ? t????6?????4?4? la??p?yt?O$-(-R-T-V-?????0Z0~0?????????????? $$Ifa$gd?O$a$gd2%$a$gd2% & Fgd2%$a$gd紂 ?????K?33 $$Ifa$gd?O $$Ifa$gd?O?kdo$$If杔?諪p !?? ? t????6?????4?4? la??p?yt?O?????K?33 $$Ifa$gd?O $$Ifa$gd?O?kdp$$If杔?諪p !?? ? t????6?????4?4? la??p?yt?O?1 11$1K?33 $$Ifa$gd?O $$Ifa$gd?O?kd"q$$If杔?諪p !?? ? t????6?????4?4? la??p?yt?O$1&101<1J1K?33 $$Ifa$gd?O $$Ifa$gd?O?kd8r$$If杔?諪p !?? ? t????6?????4?4? la??p?yt?OJ1L1V1b1p1K?33 $$Ifa$gd?O $$Ifa$gd?O?kdNs$$If杔?諪p !?? ? t????6?????4?4? la??p?yt?Op1r1|1??K?33 $$Ifa$gd?O $$Ifa$gd?O?kddt$$If杔?諪p !?? ? t????6?????4?4? la??p?yt?O?????K?33 $$Ifa$gd?O $$Ifa$gd?O?kdzu$$If杔?諪p !?? ? t????6?????4?4? la??p?yt?O?????K?33 $$Ifa$gd?O $$Ifa$gd?O?kd恦$$If杔?諪p !?? ? t????6?????4?4? la??p?yt?O????2K?33 $$Ifa$gd?O $$Ifa$gd?O?kd$$If杔?諪p !?? ? t????6?????4?4? la??p?yt?O2 22 2.2K?33 $$Ifa$gd?O $$Ifa$gd?O?kd紉$$If杔?諪p !?? ? t????6?????4?4? la??p?yt?O.202:2F2T2K?33 $$Ifa$gd?O $$Ifa$gd?O?kd襶$$If杔?諪p !?? ? t????6?????4?4? la??p?yt?OT2V2`2l2z2K?33 $$Ifa$gd?O $$Ifa$gd?O?kd鑪$$If杔?諪p !?? ? t????6?????4?4? la??p?yt?Oz2|2???K?33 $$Ifa$gd?O $$Ifa$gd?O?kd$$If杔?諪p !?? ? t????6?????4?4? la??p?yt?O?????K?33 $$Ifa$gd?O $$Ifa$gd?O?kd}$$If杔?諪p !?? ? t????6?????4?4? la??p?yt?O?????K?33 $$Ifa$gd?O $$Ifa$gd?O?kd*~$$If杔?諪p !?? ? t????6?????4?4? la??p?yt?O???33K?33 $$Ifa$gd?O $$Ifa$gd?O?kd@$$If杔?諪p !?? ? t????6?????4?4? la??p?yt?O333*383K?33 $$Ifa$gd?O $$Ifa$gd?O?kdV€$$If杔?諪p !?? ? t????6?????4?4? la??p?yt?O83:3D3P3^3K?33 $$Ifa$gd?O $$Ifa$gd?O?kdl?$$If杔?諪p !?? ? t????6?????4?4? la??p?yt?O^3`3?44 4KC;33$a$gd紂$a$gdˊ?$a$gd2%?kd倐$$If杔?諪p !?? ? t????6?????4?4? la??p?yt?O 4446484\4l8n8???9@9????????????? $$Ifa$gd?O$a$gd賉?$a$gd賉? & Fgd賉?$a$gd紂 ?????G;// $$Ifa$gd?O $$Ifa$gd?O?kd儘$$IfT杔?諪p*???? ? t????6?????4?4? la??p?yt?O奣?????G;// $$Ifa$gd?O $$Ifa$gd?O?kd棊$$IfT杔?諪p*???? ? t????6?????4?4? la??p?yt?O奣???: :G;// $$Ifa$gd?O $$Ifa$gd?O?kd睆$$IfT杔?諪p*???? ? t????6?????4?4? la??p?yt?O奣 :::":,:G;// $$Ifa$gd?O $$Ifa$gd?O?kd藧$$IfT杔?諪p*???? ? t????6?????4?4? la??p?yt?O奣,:.:8:B:L:G;// $$Ifa$gd?O $$Ifa$gd?O?kd鍛$$IfT杔?諪p*???? ? t????6?????4?4? la??p?yt?O奣L:N:X:b:l:G;// $$Ifa$gd?O $$Ifa$gd?O?kd?$$IfT杔?諪p*???? ? t????6?????4?4? la??p?yt?O奣l:n:x:??G;// $$Ifa$gd?O $$Ifa$gd?O?kd?$$IfT杔?諪p*???? ? t????6?????4?4? la??p?yt?O奣?????G;// $$Ifa$gd?O $$Ifa$gd?O?kd3?$$IfT杔?諪p*???? ? t????6?????4?4? la??p?yt?O奣?????G;// $$Ifa$gd?O $$Ifa$gd?O?kdM?$$IfT杔?諪p*???? ? t????6?????4?4? la??p?yt?O奣?????G;// $$Ifa$gd?O $$Ifa$gd?O?kdg?$$IfT杔?諪p*???? ? t????6?????4?4? la??p?yt?O奣???;;G;// $$Ifa$gd?O $$Ifa$gd?O?kd仒$$IfT杔?諪p*???? ? t????6?????4?4? la??p?yt?O奣;;;$;.;G;// $$Ifa$gd?O $$Ifa$gd?O?kd洐$$IfT杔?諪p*???? ? t????6?????4?4? la??p?yt?O奣.;0;:;D;N;G;// $$Ifa$gd?O $$Ifa$gd?O?kd禋$$IfT杔?諪p*???? ? t????6?????4?4? la??p?yt?O奣N;P;Z;d;n;G;// $$Ifa$gd?O $$Ifa$gd?O?kd蠜$$IfT杔?諪p*???? ? t????6?????4?4? la??p?yt?O奣n;p;z;??G;// $$Ifa$gd?O $$Ifa$gd?O?kd闇$$IfT杔?諪p*???? ? t????6?????4?4? la??p?yt?O奣?????G;// $$Ifa$gd?O $$Ifa$gd?O?kd?$$IfT杔?諪p*???? ? t????6?????4?4? la??p?yt?O奣?????G;// $$Ifa$gd?O $$Ifa$gd?O?kd?$$IfT杔?諪p*???? ? t????6?????4?4? la??p?yt?O奣??< <N<R<?G??777$a$gdˊ?$a$gd紂?kd7?$$IfT杔?諪p*???? ? t????6?????4?4? la??p?yt?O奣???t>???0?R?T?d?f?????????????? $$Ifa$gd?O$a$gd2%$a$gd颒?$a$gdcy? & FgdCO? ???) $$Ifa$gd?O?kd彯$$IfT杔?謀??N?3 ??? ? t????6?????4?4? la?p?yt?O奣???@??? $$Ifa$gd?O@@ @) $$Ifa$gd?O?kd席$$IfT杔?謀??N?3 ??? ? t????6?????4?4? la?p?yt?O奣 @@"@.@??? $$Ifa$gd?O.@0@:@) $$Ifa$gd?O?kd?$$IfT杔?謀??N?3 ??? ? t????6?????4?4? la?p?yt?O奣:@F@P@\@??? $$Ifa$gd?O\@^@h@) $$Ifa$gd?O?kdU?$$IfT杔?謀??N?3 ??? ? t????6?????4?4? la?p?yt?O奣h@t@~@夽??? $$Ifa$gd?O夽孈朄) $$Ifa$gd?O?kd洺$$IfT杔?謀??N?3 ??? ? t????6?????4?4? la?p?yt?O奣朄珸窣??? $$Ifa$gd?O窣篅腀) $$Ifa$gd?O?kd岽$$IfT杔?謀??N?3 ??? ? t????6?????4?4? la?p?yt?O奣腀蠤贎鍬??? $$Ifa$gd?O鍬鐯駺) $$Ifa$gd?O?kd'?$$IfT杔?謀??N?3 ??? ? t????6?????4?4? la?p?yt?O奣駺兀AA??? $$Ifa$gd?OAA A) $$Ifa$gd?O?kdm?$$IfT杔?謀??N?3 ??? ? t????6?????4?4? la?p?yt?O奣 A,A6ABA??? $$Ifa$gd?OBADANA) $$Ifa$gd?O?kd掣$$IfT杔?謀??N?3 ??? ? t????6?????4?4? la?p?yt?O奣NAZAdApA??? $$Ifa$gd?OpArA|A) $$Ifa$gd?O?kd$$IfT杔?謀??N?3 ??? ? t????6?????4?4? la?p?yt?O奣|A圓擜燗??? $$Ifa$gd?O燗珹) $$Ifa$gd?O?kd??$$IfT杔?謀??N?3 ??? ? t????6?????4?4? la?p?yt?O奣珹窤腁蠥??? $$Ifa$gd?O蠥褹蹵) $$Ifa$gd?O?kd吋$$IfT杔?謀??N?3 ??? ? t????6?????4?4? la?p?yt?O奣蹵鐰鬉B??? $$Ifa$gd?OBB B) $$Ifa$gd?O?kd私$$IfT杔?謀??N?3 ??? ? t????6?????4?4? la?p?yt?O奣 BB$B0B??? $$Ifa$gd?O0B2BHJHVHG;// $$Ifa$gd?O $$Ifa$gd?O?kd撔$$IfT杔?諪??N?3 ?? ? t????6?????4?4? la?p?yt?O奣VHXHbHnHzHG;// $$Ifa$gd?O $$Ifa$gd?O?kd櫻$$IfT杔?諪??N?3 ?? ? t????6?????4?4? la?p?yt?O奣zH|H咹扝濰G;// $$Ifa$gd?O $$Ifa$gd?O?kd熞$$IfT杔?諪??N?3 ?? ? t????6?????4?4? la?p?yt?O奣濰燞狧禜翲G;// $$Ifa$gd?O $$Ifa$gd?O?kdビ$$IfT杔?諪??N?3 ?? ? t????6?????4?4? la?p?yt?O奣翲腍蜨贖鍴G;// $$Ifa$gd?O $$Ifa$gd?O?kd$$IfT杔?諪??N?3 ?? ? t????6?????4?4? la?p?yt?O奣鍴鐷騂﨟 IG;// $$Ifa$gd?O $$Ifa$gd?O?kd闭$$IfT杔?諪??N?3 ?? ? t????6?????4?4? la?p?yt?O奣 I II"I.IG;// $$Ifa$gd?O $$Ifa$gd?O?kd分$$IfT杔?諪??N?3 ?? ? t????6?????4?4? la?p?yt?O奣.I0I:IFIRIG;// $$Ifa$gd?O $$Ifa$gd?O?kd阶$$IfT杔?諪??N?3 ?? ? t????6?????4?4? la?p?yt?O奣RITI綢繧翴G?:2$a$gd蝯gd??$a$gd.w?kd秘$$IfT杔?諪??N?3 ?? ? t????6?????4?4? la?p?yt?O奣翴鬒繨,O.O@QDQ綫銺騋??????????? $$Ifa$gd膌b $Ifgd膌b $ & Fa$gd }lgd觔?$a$gdcy? & Fgd3/V 騋鬛RcW $$Ifa$gd膌b?kd少$$If杔?謀?$ ?,"??L(????????4?4? la?RR,RDRTRzR????? $$Ifa$gd膌b $Ifgd膌bckd氌$$If杔???,"?????????4?4? la?zR|R糝蘎騌cZNNN $$Ifa$gd膌b $Ifgd膌b?kd)?$$If杔?謀?$ ?,"??L(????????4?4? la?騌鬜S*S:S`ScZNNN $$Ifa$gd膌b $Ifgd膌b?kd$$If杔?謀?$ ?,"??L(????????4?4? la?`SbS~S楽⊿蜸cZNNN $$Ifa$gd膌b $Ifgd膌b?kd塑$$If杔?謀?$ ?,"??L(????????4?4? la?蜸蠸霺TTT@TBTDTFTcZNNN $$Ifa$gd膌b $Ifgd膌b?kdm?$$If杔?謀?$ ?,"??L(????????4?4? la?FTHTVTcW $$Ifa$gd膌b?kd>?$$If杔?謀?$ ?,"??L(????????4?4? la?VTXT€T濼癟諸????? $$Ifa$gd膌b $Ifgd膌bckd?$$If杔???,"?????????4?4? la?諸豑赥UUU@U^UnU擴cZNNN $$Ifa$gd膌b $Ifgd膌b?kdo?$$If杔?謀?$ ?,"??L(????????4?4? la?擴朥轚黆 V2VcZNNN $$Ifa$gd膌b $Ifgd膌b?kd@?$$If杔?謀?$ ?,"??L(????????4?4? la?2V4V6V`VrV榁cZNNN $$Ifa$gd膌b $Ifgd膌b?kd?$$If杔?謀?$ ?,"??L(????????4?4? la?榁歏淰篤蘓騐cZNNN $$Ifa$gd膌b $Ifgd膌b?kd忏$$If杔?謀?$ ?,"??L(????????4?4? la?騐鬡W4WDWjWcZNNN $$Ifa$gd膌b $Ifgd膌b?kd充$$If杔?謀?$ ?,"??L(????????4?4? la?jWlWvWcW $$Ifa$gd膌b?kd勫$$If杔?謀?$ ?,"??L(????????4?4? la?vWxW燱琖糤釽????? $$Ifa$gd膌b $Ifgd膌bckdU?$$If杔???,"?????????4?4? la?釽鋀,X8XJXpXcZNNN $$Ifa$gd膌b $Ifgd膌b?kd滏$$If杔?謀?$ ?,"??L(????????4?4? la?pXrX奨朮Y:YcZNZN $$Ifa$gd膌b $Ifgd膌b?kd电$$If杔?謀?$ ?,"??L(????????4?4? la?:YZcZNNN $$Ifa$gd膌b $Ifgd膌b?kd骈$$If杔?謀?$ ?,"??L(????????4?4? la?>Z@Z\Z€Z怹禯cZNNN $$Ifa$gd膌b $Ifgd膌b?kd逢$$If杔?謀?$ ?,"??L(????????4?4? la?禯竄鋃鎆鑊闦cZNNN $$Ifa$gd膌b $Ifgd膌b?kd堧$$If杔?謀?$ ?,"??L(????????4?4? la?闦靂[<[N[t[cZNNN $$Ifa$gd膌b $Ifgd膌b?kdY?$$If杔?謀?$ ?,"??L(????????4?4? la?t[v[綶鎇鳾\cZNNN $$Ifa$gd膌b $Ifgd膌b?kd*?$$If杔?謀?$ ?,"??L(????????4?4? la?\ \L\t\刓猏cZNNN $$Ifa$gd膌b $Ifgd膌b?kd$$If杔?謀?$ ?,"??L(????????4?4? la?猏琝襖鶿 ]0]cZNNN $$Ifa$gd膌b $Ifgd膌b?kd填$$If杔?謀?$ ?,"??L(????????4?4? la?0]2]Z]cW $$Ifa$gd膌b?kd濓$$If杔?謀?$ ?,"??L(????????4?4? la?Z]\]x]怾燷芣????? $$Ifa$gd膌b $Ifgd膌bckdn?$$If杔???,"?????????4?4? la?芣萞鋆^4^cZNNN $$Ifa$gd膌b $Ifgd膌b?kd$$If杔?謀?$ ?,"??L(????????4?4? la?4^6^b^d^f^h^cZNNN $$Ifa$gd膌b $Ifgd膌b?kd务$$If杔?謀?$ ?,"??L(????????4?4? la?h^j^刕甞綹鋇cZQEE $$Ifa$gd膌b $Ifgd顳? $Ifgd膌b?kd燆$$If杔?謀?$ ?,"??L(????????4?4? la?鋇鎊_cZ $Ifgd顳??kdp?$$If杔?謀?$ ?,"??L(????????4?4? la?__ _._>_d_???~~ $$Ifa$gd膌b $Ifgd顳? $Ifgd膌bckdA?$$If杔???,"?????????4?4? la?d_f_朹cZ $Ifgd顳??kd恤$$If杔?謀?$ ?,"??L(????????4?4? la?朹榑確鋉鬫`???~~ $$Ifa$gd膌b $Ifgd顳? $Ifgd膌bckd□$$If杔???,"?????????4?4? la?``8`h`x`瀈cZQEE $$Ifa$gdd~' $Ifgd顳? $Ifgdd~'?kd0?$$If杔?謀?$ ?,"??L(????????4?4? la?瀈燻糮靈黗"acZQEE $$Ifa$gdd~' $Ifgd顳? $Ifgdd~'?kd?$$If杔?謀?$ ?,"??L(????????4?4? la?"a$a@aza刟猘cZZNN $$Ifa$gdd~' $Ifgdd~'?kd吟$$If杔?謀?$ ?,"??L(????????4?4? la?猘琣萢:bJb^bcZNNN $$Ifa$gd膌b $Ifgd膌b?kdｘ$$If杔?謀?$ ?,"??L(????????4?4? la?^b`b|b靊鯾 ccZNNN $$Ifa$gd膌b $Ifgd膌b?kdt?$$If杔?謀?$ ?,"??L(????????4?4? la? c c(c攃瀋瞔cZNNN $$Ifa$gd膌b $Ifgd膌b?kdE?$$If杔?謀?$ ?,"??L(????????4?4? la?瞔碿禼€g俫@l$pc^VVNCV $ & Fa$gdcy?$a$gd銵L$a$gdcy?gd竂??kd?$$If杔?謀?$ ?,"??L(????????4?4? la?$p&p@rBr則猼黷$uTuVu?枆蕧虓?????????????????????????? & Fgd`H & Fgd??gd3/V$a$gdcy?$a$gd87r78V9???A???????????????????????? $ & F!a$gd?$a$gdd?$a$gdcy? & F gdd? & Fgdy6gd* gA窪駿咷圙H.I擫鯬4T"W諽燵(^鋜0w:w妛y畓鋥?????????????????????? $ & F#a$gdIf? & F gdX?$a$gdcy? $ & F"a$gd膒? $ & F"a$gd?$a$gd鹶? $ & F!a$gd??巰悅B?D?拡:?鞆顝L??鎽钁鼞?"????????????????? $$Ifa$gd\W:gd* g$a$gd* g$a$gdcy? $ & F"a$gdl ? $ & F"a$gd漚? $ & F"a$gd?? $ & F#a$gd漚?"?$?Z?of $Ifgd* g?kd欭$$IfT杔?諪}鸃 ????? t???.+??????4?4? la?辂奣Z?\?枓笒虙???? $Ifgd* gjkd^?$$IfT杔??}&.+ t???.+??????4?4? la?辂奣虙螔鷴 ?4?offf $Ifgd* g?kd齄$$IfT杔?諪}鸃 ????? t???.+??????4?4? la?辂奣4?6?悡矒負offf $Ifgdqp??kd?$$IfT杔?諪}鸃 ????? t???.+??????4?4? la?辂奣負趽?〝6?offf $Ifgd* g?kd?$$IfT杔?諪}鸃 ????? t???.+??????4?4? la?辂奣6?8?p?of $Ifgd* g?kdF$$IfT杔?諪}鸃 ????? t???.+??????4?4? la?辂奣p?r?陼v?饢???? $Ifgd* gjkd $$IfT杔??}&.+ t???.+??????4?4? la?辂奣饢驏&?(?*?offf $Ifgd* g?kd?$$IfT杔?諪}鸃 ????? t???.+??????4?4? la?辂奣*?,?湗聵offf $Ifgd* g?kdi$$IfT杔?諪}鸃 ????? t???.+??????4?4? la?辂奣聵臉??V?offf $Ifgd;N??kd.$$IfT杔?諪}鸃 ????? t???.+??????4?4? la?辂奣V?X?Z?^?灇貪跐垷姛穑ogg_WWWWRgdPs?$a$gdGS? & Fgd{?$a$gd* g?kd?$$IfT杔?諪}鸃 ????? t???.+??????4?4? la?辂奣 穑颍d??J?V?b??????? $$Ifa$gd)b?d?姳# $Ifgd)?kd $$IfT杔4?譃恸?u ?]?E?sttttt????????4?4? la?N鹒4奣姳挶毐⒈脖罕?????? $$Ifa$gd)罕急舯# $Ifgd)?kd?$$IfT杔4?譃恸?u ?]?E?sttttt????????4?4? la?N鹒4奣舯???&?0??????? $$Ifa$gd)0?2?4?#$a$gd濺??kd?$$IfT杔4?譃恸?u ?]?E?sttttt????????4?4? la?N鹒4奣4?嗖???.?>?P?b?t?喅?????????? $Ifgd)$a$gd濺?$a$gd濺?$ & F?^?a$gd濺? 喅埑瞥# $Ifgd)?kd?$$IfT杔4?譃恸?u ?]?E?sttttt????????4?4? la?N鹒4奣瞥页蕹瓿龀???????? $$Ifa$gd)??H?# $Ifgd)?kd?$$IfT杔4?譃恸?u ?]?E?sttttt????????4?4? la?N鹒4奣H?P?X?`?h?p?x??????? $$Ifa$gd)x?z?ù# $Ifgd)?kd?$$IfT杔4?譃恸?u ?]?E?sttttt????????4?4? la?N鹒4奣ù按即却源啻齑?????? $$Ifa$gd)齑畲?# $Ifgd)?kdo$$IfT杔4?譃恸?u ?]?E?sttttt????????4?4? la?N鹒4奣??$?,?4?$$IfT杔4?謀{??)S ???????????4?4? la?琨f4奣 $$Ifa$gd)毿溞滦市倚谛\PDDD $$Ifa$gd) $$Ifa$gd)?kd?$$IfT杔4?謀{??)S ???????????4?4? la?琨f4奣谛苄??(?2?\PDDD $$Ifa$gd) $$Ifa$gd)?kd?$$IfT杔4?謀{??)S ???????????4?4? la?琨f4奣2?4?6?:?喲樦氈炛\TOGBBBgd裷? & Fgdddgd麭+$a$gdGS??kd睝$$IfT杔4?謀{??)S ???????????4?4? la?琨f4奣炛局邑载X?Z?侧脆J?L?P?r?颁 ?`?赍b?戽\?寸桤F?滂V??????????????????????????gd9dgd* ggd鬰?$a$gd騳~$a$gd* g & Fgd{?V?鹃?z?????半搽岇庫??绊岔碱绢x?z?j?l???(?*?Z???????????????????????????gd/2?gd渉?gd(r & Fgd{?gd* gZ?\?$?&?梏牯\?^?,?.?践均旡桗婞岦>?@?恂濑 xzdf?????????????????????????$a$gd咾?gd/2?gdl?gdu?gd渉?f???hjf h B D X Z ????>@????????????????????????????gd/2?gd?+gd?wgd8gd??gd?gd渉?gdGaC????XZ<>?????? " ??pr@BDF?????????????????????????gd??gd?gd?\gd?Mgd/2?gdl?gd渉?gd?FHJLNPRTVX\?R T N!R!????????????????????????????? $$Ifa$gd?O$a$gdf=$gdf=$$a$gdf=$ & Fgd?Zgd??$a$gd/2?gd/2???? $$Ifa$gd?O???kd岮$$If杔?謗??????R ???? ? t????6?????4?4? la?p?yt?O?##(#4#>#????? $$Ifa$gd?O $Ifgd c?>#@#?kd貰$$If杔?謗??????R ???? ? t????6?????4?4? la?p?yt?O@#?????????? $$Ifa$gd?O $Ifgd c????kd%D$$If杔?謗??????R ???? ? t????6?????4?4? la?p?yt?O?$$$*$4$????? $$Ifa$gd?O $Ifgd c?4$6$?kdqE$$If杔?謗??????R ???? ? t????6?????4?4? la?p?yt?O6$??? %%????? $$Ifa$gd?O $Ifgd c?%%?kd紽$$If杔?謗??????R ???? ? t????6?????4?4? la?p?yt?O%B%N%Z%f%p%????? $$Ifa$gd?O $Ifgd c?p%r%?kd H$$If杔?謗??????R ???? ? t????6?????4?4? la?p?yt?Or%?????????? $$Ifa$gd?O $Ifgd c????kdUI$$If杔?謗??????R ???? ? t????6?????4?4? la?p?yt?O? &&$&0&:&????? $$Ifa$gd?O $Ifgd c?:&<&?kd$$If杔?謗??????R ???? ? t????6?????4?4? la?p?yt?O<&>&@&z&??|+~+?????,$,?????????????? $$Ifa$gd c?$a$gdf=$$a$gdf=$ & Fgdf=$gdf=$$,&,6,F,T,b,r,LC7777 $$Ifa$gd c? $Ifgd c??kd鞬$$IfT杔?謗0? R?.?DD?????????4?4? la??奣r,t,?????LC7777 $$Ifa$gd c? $Ifgd c??kd蔐$$IfT杔?謗:? R?C?DD???? ?????4?4? la??奣???????LC7777 $$Ifa$gd c? $Ifgd c??kd$$IfT杔?謗:? R?C?DD???? ?????4?4? la??奣??--,-<-P-LC7777 $$Ifa$gd c? $Ifgd c??kd凬$$IfT杔?謗:? R?C?DD???? ?????4?4? la??奣P-R-t-????LDDD??gdf=$ & Fgdf=$?kdaO$$IfT杔?謗:? R?C?DD???? ?????4?4? la??奣?b/d/v/??1?????g^^ $Ifgd c?~kd>P$$IfT杔?? ? ?q t???6??????4?4? la?y龏T $$Ifa$gd c?gdf=$$a$gdf=$??N2D3€ww $Ifgd c?~kd餚$$IfT杔?? ? ?q t???6??????4?4? la?y龏TD3F3??€ww $Ifgd c?~kd$$IfT杔?? ? ?q t???6??????4?4? la?y龏T????€ww $Ifgd c?~kdTR$$IfT杔?? ? ?q t???6??????4?4? la?y龏T???p6?"7$7:7J7Z7€xxiaxUUU $$Ifa$gd c?$a$gdf=$$ & F?^?a$gdf=$$a$gdf=$~kdS$$IfT杔?? ? ?q t???6??????4?4? la?y龏T Z7l7~7?????? $$Ifa$gd c????# $$Ifa$gd c??kd窼$$IfT杔4?譃恸?u ?]???stttt?????????4?4? la?N鹒4奣???8 88$8?????? $$Ifa$gd c?$8&8^8# $$Ifa$gd c??kd玊$$IfT杔4?譃恸?u ?]???stttt?????????4?4? la?N鹒4奣^8h8r8|8????????? $$Ifa$gd c????# $$Ifa$gd c??kd濽$$IfT杔4?譃恸?u ?]???stttt?????????4?4? la?N鹒4奣?????? 9?????? $$Ifa$gd c? 9 929# $$Ifa$gd c??kd慥$$IfT杔4?譃恸?u ?]???stttt?????????4?4? la?N鹒4奣29>9H9R9\9f9p9?????? $$Ifa$gd c?p9r9?# $$Ifa$gd c??kd刉$$IfT杔4?譃恸?u ?]???stttt?????????4?4? la?N鹒4奣????????????? $$Ifa$gd c????#$a$gdf=$?kdwX$$IfT杔4?譃恸?u ?]???stttt?????????4?4? la?N鹒4奣???&;*;,;?|=~=>>?????? ??????????????????!$d??$Ifa$gd c? !d??gdf=$ & Fgdf=$gdf=$$a$gdf=$$a$gdf=$ ? ??0?@?T?L>---!$d??$Ifa$gd c?!d??$Ifgd c??kd赽$$IfT杔?謗????????P??????4?4? la?奣T?h?j?z????;-??!d??$Ifgd c??kdヽ$$IfT杔?謗????????P??????4?4? la?奣!$d??$Ifa$gd c?????????;-?!d??$Ifgd c??kdxd$$IfT杔?謗????????P??????4?4? la?奣!$d??$Ifa$gd c???@$@&@6@???;-!d??$Ifgd c??kdGe$$IfT杔?謗????????P??????4?4? la?奣!$d??$Ifa$gd c?6@J@Z@n@侤凘????;?kdf$$IfT杔?謗????????P??????4?4? la?奣!$d??$Ifa$gd c?凘擛ˊ繞訞鐯?????!$d??$Ifa$gd c?!d??$Ifgd c?鐯闌鶣麫 AAL>---!$d??$Ifa$gd c?!d??$Ifgd c??kd錰$$IfT杔?謗????????P??????4?4? la?奣AA A,ABAVA?;-??!d??$Ifgd c??kd磄$$IfT杔?謗????????P??????4?4? la?奣!$d??$Ifa$gd c?VAlA侫凙(C珻??;11 !d??gdf=$?kd僪$$IfT杔?謗????????P??????4?4? la?奣!$d??$Ifa$gd c?珻瓹NDRDEEE2E@EBE????????O?kdRi$$IfT杔?諪? ?,"??? t???6?????4?4? la?奣 $$Ifa$gd c?gdf=$$a$gdf=$$a$gdf=$ BE圗XFZFdGfG轌郍餒処????g?????kd鵬$$IfT杔?諪? ?,"??? t???6?????4?4? la?奣 $Ifgd c? 処咺蘄LJNJpggg $Ifgd c??kd爅$$IfT杔?諪? ?,"??? t???6?????4?4? la?奣NJPJ頙@KBKpggg $Ifgd c??kdGk$$IfT杔?諪? ?,"??? t???6?????4?4? la?奣BKDK淜LLpggg $Ifgd c??kd頺$$IfT杔?諪? ?,"??? t???6?????4?4? la?奣LLL腖^M凪哅淢phhYQhE $$Ifa$gd c?$a$gdf=$$ & F?^?a$gdf=$$a$gdf=$?kd昹$$IfT杔?諪? ?,"??? t???6?????4?4? la?奣淢琈糓蜯郙騇N?????? $$Ifa$gd c?NNDN# $$Ifa$gd c??kd`R`b`r`俙哷歚甡???????? $$Ifa$gd c? $Ifgd c?甡癭?kd€$$IfT杔?执??:??3P<(#SSSSS?? t?????????4?4? la?奣癭繾訿鋊鬬aaa0a???????? $$Ifa$gd c? $Ifgd c?0a2a?kd閫$$IfT杔?执??:??3P<(#SSSSS?? t?????????4?4? la?奣2aBaVafava哸奱瀉瞐???????? $$Ifa$gd c? $Ifgd c?瞐碼?kd褋$$IfT杔?执??:??3P<(#SSSSS?? t?????????4?4? la?奣碼繿詀鑑黙bb4bJb???????? $$Ifa$gd c? $Ifgd c?JbLb?kd箓$$IfT杔?执??:??3P<(#SSSSS?? t?????????4?4? la?奣LbVcXcNdPdeee0e>e????????? $$Ifa$gd c?$a$gdf=$$a$gdf=$gdf=$ >e@e€e餰Pfmddd $Ifgd c??kd$$IfT杔?諪? ?,"??? t???6??????4?4? la?奣PfRf╢$g磄mddd $Ifgd c??kdM?$$IfT杔?諪? ?,"??? t???6??????4?4? la?奣磄秅竒hhmddd $Ifgd c??kd鶆$$IfT杔?諪? ?,"??? t???6??????4?4? la?奣h h"h$h&h鈎鋒~imh````XX`$a$gdf=$$a$gdf=$gdf=$?kd$$IfT杔?諪? ?,"??? t???6??????4?4? la?奣 糹蘨躨頸jj$j??????? $$Ifa$gd c?$j&jdj# $$Ifa$gd c??kdQ?$$IfT杔4?譃恸?u ?]???stttt?????????4?4? la?N鹒4奣djpj|j妀榡磈?????? $$Ifa$gd c? $$Ifa$gd c?磈秊頹# $$Ifa$gd c??kdD?$$IfT杔4?譃恸?u ?]???stttt?????????4?4? la?N鹒4奣頹鷍kkk*k6k?????? $$Ifa$gd c? $$Ifa$gd c?6k8kfk# $$Ifa$gd c??kd7?$$IfT杔4?譃恸?u ?]???stttt?????????4?4? la?N鹒4奣fktk€k宬歬╧秌?????? $$Ifa$gd c? $$Ifa$gd c?秌竗辦# $$Ifa$gd c??kd*?$$IfT杔4?譃恸?u ?]???stttt?????????4?4? la?N鹒4奣辦鑛騥黭lll?????? $$Ifa$gd c? $$Ifa$gd c?llTl# $$Ifa$gd c??kd?$$IfT杔4?譃恸?u ?]???stttt?????????4?4? la?N鹒4奣Tlflrl~l妉杔?????? $$Ifa$gd c? $$Ifa$gd c?#$a$gdf=$?kd?$$IfT杔4?譃恸?u ?]???stttt?????????4?4? la?N鹒4奣猯|m~m秏竚騧鬽聀膒苝xq瑂HtLt6u8uBuJuRu`ulu????????????????????? $$Ifa$gd c? $Ifgd c?$a$gd ? & Fgdf=$gdf=$$a$gdf=$$a$gdf=$lunu渦LC $Ifgd c??kd噷$$IfT杔?謗?Fj ????$%%%????????4?4? la?奣渦瀠畊紆蘵躸靧?????? $$Ifa$gd c? $Ifgd c?gkdV?$$IfT杔????E????????4?4? la?奣靧顄 vv,v@vLC7777 $$Ifa$gd c? $Ifgd c??kd閸$$IfT杔?謗?Fj ????$%%%????????4?4? la?奣@vBv^vLC $Ifgd c??kd笌$$IfT杔?謗?Fj ????$%%%????????4?4? la?奣^v`vpv€v恦秜?????? $$Ifa$gd c? $Ifgd c?gkd噺$$IfT杔????E????????4?4? la?奣秜竩葀豽鑦鷙wLC7777 $$Ifa$gd c? $Ifgd c??kd?$$IfT杔?謗?Fj ????$%%%????????4?4? la?奣ww"w2w@wRwfwLC7777 $$Ifa$gd c? $Ifgd c??kd閻$$IfT杔?謗?Fj ????$%%%????????4?4? la?奣fwhwtw剋榳畐聎LC7777 $$Ifa$gd c? $Ifgd c??kd笐$$IfT杔?謗?Fj ????$%%%????????4?4? la?奣聎膚z坽妠寋謡LDD?77$a$gdf=$gdf=$ & F%gdf=$?kd噿$$IfT杔?謗?Fj ????$%%%????????4?4? la?奣謡貄渳瀩皚蘿趠軁軂??????WN $Ifgd c??kdV?$$IfT杔?諪? ?,"??? t???6?????4?4? la?奣 $$Ifa$gd c?gdf=$$a$gdf=$軂Xf€h€b?虂2???g????kd龘$$IfT杔?諪? ?,"??? t???6?????4?4? la?奣 $Ifgd c?2?4?虃0?鷥pggg $Ifgd c??kd$$IfT杔?諪? ?,"??? t???6?????4?4? la?奣鷥鼉爠pggg $Ifgd c??kdK?$$IfT杔?諪? ?,"??? t???6?????4?4? la?奣$?&?(?pggg $Ifgd c??kd驎$$IfT杔?諪? ?,"??? t???6?????4?4? la?奣(?*?,?貑趩饐??pkcTcHHH $$Ifa$gd c?$ & F?^?a$gdf=$$a$gdf=$gdf=$?kd櫀$$IfT杔?諪? ?,"??? t???6?????4?4? la?奣?"?4?F?X????? $$Ifa$gd c?X?Z?槆# $$Ifa$gd c??kd@?$$IfT杔4?譃恸?u ?]???stttt?????????4?4? la?N鹒4奣槆矅绹螄車顕?????? $$Ifa$gd c? $$Ifa$gd c?顕饑(?# $$Ifa$gd c??kd3?$$IfT杔4?譃恸?u ?]???stttt?????????4?4? la?N鹒4奣(?2??E999 $$Ifa$gd?O?kd娇$$IfT杔?擨諪T??,"€ ?? ? t????6?????4?4? la??p?yt?O奣>?@?P?d?r?G;;; $$Ifa$gd?O?kd绽$$IfT杔?諪T??,"€ ?? ? t????6?????4?4? la??p?yt?O奣r?t?劖槶碍G;;; $$Ifa$gd?O?kd榱$$IfT杔?諪T??,"€ ?? ? t????6?????4?4? la??p?yt?O奣碍箔颅噎猸G;;; $$Ifa$gd?O?kd$$IfT杔?諪T??,"€ ?? ? t????6?????4?4? la??p?yt?O奣猸洵舡??G;;; $$Ifa$gd?O?kd?$$IfT杔?諪T??,"€ ?? ? t????6?????4?4? la??p?yt?O奣??&?:?J?G;;; $$Ifa$gd?O?kd%?$$IfT杔?諪T??,"€ ?? ? t????6?????4?4? la??p?yt?O奣J?L?\?l?|?G;;; $$Ifa$gd?O?kd9?$$IfT杔?諪T??,"€ ?? ? t????6?????4?4? la??p?yt?O奣|?~?ぎ府犬G;;; $$Ifa$gd?O?kdM?$$IfT杔?諪T??,"€ ?? ? t????6?????4?4? la??p?yt?O奣犬十之飚?G;;; $$Ifa$gd?O?kda?$$IfT杔?諪T??,"€ ?? ? t????6?????4?4? la??p?yt?O奣??啹埊姱 ?G?:22$a$gdf=$gdf=$$a$gdf=$?kdu?$$IfT杔?諪T??,"€ ?? ? t????6?????4?4? la??p?yt?O奣 ?"?卤谋敳柌ú牟也???????? $$Ifa$gd?Ogdf=$$a$gdf=$$a$gdf=$也圆灣牫偞D?G>>>> $Ifgd c??kd壥$$IfT杔?諪? ?,"??? ? t????6?????4?4? la?p?yt?O奣D?F?柕樀.?G>>> $Ifgd c??kd佀$$IfT杔?諪? ?,"??? ? t????6?????4?4? la?p?yt?O奣.?0?2?4?龆G>>> $Ifgd c??kdy?$$IfT杔?諪? ?,"??? ? t????6?????4?4? la?p?yt?O奣龆毞灧$?GB:22$a$gdf=$$a$gdf=$gdf=$?kdq?$$IfT杔?諪? ?,"??? ? t????6?????4?4? la?p?yt?O奣$?J?L?b?靖栏??????e??}kdi?$$IfT杔4???^ )??????????4?4? la?f4奣 $$Ifa$gd c? $Ifgd c?$a$gdf=$? ?B?L??ym $$Ifa$gd c? $Ifgd c?}kd?$$IfT杔4???^ )??????????4?4? la?f4奣L?N?|?喒?ym $$Ifa$gd c? $Ifgd c?}kd窍$$IfT杔4???^ )??????????4?4? la?f4奣喒埞拦?ym $$Ifa$gd c? $Ifgd c?}kdv?$$IfT杔4???^ )??????????4?4? la?f4奣拦鹿??ym $$Ifa$gd c? $Ifgd c?}kd%?$$IfT杔4???^ )??????????4?4? la?f4奣???T?V?X?ɑ??幖惣?}u}}m}}e}$a$gdf=$ & Fgdf=$$a$gdf=$gdf=$}kd匝$$IfT杔4???^ )??????????4?4? la?f4奣 惣毤凹萍渭婕??????? $$Ifa$gd?O???kd円$$If杔?謗???? !55? ? t????x!6?????4?4? la?p?yt?O??(?8?F?V?????? $$Ifa$gd?O $$Ifa$gd?OV?X??kd嫌$$If杔?謗???? !55? ? t????x!6?????4?4? la?p?yt?OX?h?|?尳牻唇????? $$Ifa$gd?O $$Ifa$gd?O唇督?kd?$$If杔?謗???? !55? ? t????x!6?????4?4? la?p?yt?O督平诮杲?????? $$Ifa$gd?O $$Ifa$gd?O???kdg?$$If杔?謗???? !55? ? t????x!6?????4?4? la?p?yt?O?$?8?H?\?p?????? $$Ifa$gd?O $$Ifa$gd?Op?r??kd匙$$If杔?謗???? !55? ? t????x!6?????4?4? la?p?yt?Or?偩柧壕尉????? $$Ifa$gd?O $$Ifa$gd?O尉芯?kd?$$If杔?謗???? !55? ? t????x!6?????4?4? la?p?yt?O芯嗑艟 ? ?????? $$Ifa$gd?O $$Ifa$gd?O ?"??kdK?$$If杔?謗???? !55? ? t????x!6?????4?4? 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